TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x67c3…0e36

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
178
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Dota2, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 52 out of 100; worst CS2 at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST12965.1%84 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 129 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.34
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-Inbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$27.69
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+75.7%+$18.49
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: OG vs REKONIX (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+29.9%+$50.48
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+42.6%+$109.12
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+40.9%+$409.15
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+35.1%+$35.14
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+39.9%+$158.8
Dota 2: OG vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Dota 2: AVULUS vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+30.6%+$52.07
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$73.14
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+49.3%+$32.01
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Heroic (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+59.7%+$29.84
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+25%+$100
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,093Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+43.7%+$477.53
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$572Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+36.9%+$210.96
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs REKONIX (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+25%+$100
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO5) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$114.67
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+56%+$190.5
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$22.17
Showing 25 of 129 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST4860.4%29 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16.47
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$147.76
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.74
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+35.6%+$89.75
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+51.8%+$725.15
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,760Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+39.6%+$697.08
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+35.1%+$105.41
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+30.9%+$76.11
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,742Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+118%+$2,055
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$561Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+96.1%+$539
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+43%+$730.79
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$698Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$698.03
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$148.16
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$76
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+51.5%+$63.37
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+26.7%+$123.04
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+33.3%+$133.33
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Aurora Young Blood (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Play-In Group Abacked Aurora Young Blood · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+58.9%+$94.25
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$97.22
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,114.49
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+45.7%+$112.08
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$140.43
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: ZSM vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+38.9%+$19.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.