Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1073f31aa2241bc68fe2d09d88a4932f4c6a529ea84243158084a3c66c3c6ee6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof OG, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed OG | 49c | 12,278$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,277.92 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Liquid | 35c | 6,875$2,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.41 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked OG | 67c | 4,064$2,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.72 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…2d8dbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.69 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Liquid | 2c | 3,542$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.34 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Team Liquid | 2c | 3,420$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.68 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid | 60c | 3,355$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.86 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 2,600$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 2,491$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.81 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 36c | 1,690$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.18 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked OG | 55c | 1,675$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.9 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed OG | 42c | 1,670$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.33 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Team Liquid | 60c | 1,659$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.82 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7791…af80backed OG | 42c | 1,650$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…0e36backed OG | 70c | 1,571$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.53 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid | 32c | 1,390$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.84 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 40c | 1,257$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.02 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed OG | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.99 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid | 32c | 1,207$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.55 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed OG | 76c | 1,171$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.04 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked OG | 35c | 1,031$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.99 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Liquid | 53c | 949.53$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…dd00backed Team Liquid | 58c | 862.06$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 807.2$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…38cfbacked Team Liquid | 17c | 796.16$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +224.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Team Liquid | 64c | 794.31$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.16 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2aa…8f55backed Team Liquid | 31c | 794$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.46 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Team Liquid | 62c | 627.33$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed OG | 43c | 604.91$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…3b0abacked Team Liquid | 33c | 604.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.6 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked OG | 61c | 590$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.65 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…e68bbacked Team Liquid | 11c | 572.05$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.26 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Team Liquid | 41c | 520.05$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.3 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ae…188bbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 520$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…0cc9backed Team Liquid | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked OG | 42c | 507.5$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.01 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed OG | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Team Liquid | 44c | 500$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Liquid | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba10…e85ebacked Team Liquid | 60c | 499.13$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.32 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Team Liquid | 17c | 489.55$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.58 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Liquid | 61c | 489.51$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.72 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…a86bbacked Team Liquid | 34c | 454.24$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.2 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed OG | 51c | 444.05$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.48 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 440.77$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.31 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c50…22fdbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 419.93$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Team Liquid | 46c | 418.91$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.55 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team Liquid | 61c | 399.97$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.34 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Team Liquid | 51c | 392.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Team Liquid | 6c | 374.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x275f…39d9backed Team Liquid | 18c | 320.28$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.76 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…948ebacked OG | 37c | 316$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…d91cbacked Team Liquid | 20c | 302.62$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Liquid | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.9 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.81 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Team Liquid | 60c | 299.12$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc651…15d3backed Team Liquid | 63c | 297.48$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Team Liquid | 5c | 288.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed OG | 80c | 260.22$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed OG | 65c | 243.37$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.18 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed OG | 39c | 231.03$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.93 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2f…7241backed Team Liquid | 54c | 221.16$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe23a…8518backed OG | 44c | 207.77$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Team Liquid | 62c | 204.9$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.4 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bb…0fd6backed Team Liquid | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked OG | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Team Liquid | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed OG | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed OG | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.99 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…1b12backed Team Liquid | 64c | 174.47$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.66 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…8b06backed Team Liquid | 62c | 171.68$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.44 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…3432backed Team Liquid | 56c | 171$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.45 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Liquid | 65c | 170.13$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.58 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Liquid | 59c | 169.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed OG | 43c | 168.94$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.51 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aab…1536backed Team Liquid | 59c | 168.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa388…76dcbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Team Liquid | 74c | 162.62$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.34 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 156.56$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.66 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Liquid | 63c | 150$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Team Liquid | 48c | 144.26$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.46 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked OG | 42c | 143$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.94 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80c3…ed8fbacked OG | 40c | 142.23$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.34 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed OG | 43c | 138.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed OG | 44c | 131.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.82 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…fbf2backed Team Liquid | 73c | 121.25$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.21 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8918…f4e4backed Team Liquid | 27c | 120.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeff9…365bbacked Team Liquid | 64c | 114.19$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.66 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed OG | 59c | 111.72$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 111.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.67 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Liquid | 64c | 110$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed OG | 48c | 108.33$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.33 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35a7…4293backed OG | 46c | 107.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.81 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb0…d1bbbacked Team Liquid | 26c | 106.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 103.43$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.06 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Team Liquid | 56c | 101$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.56 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa787…a9d1backed OG | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c37…e7eebacked OG | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed OG | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.