TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa787…a9d1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
114
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: UFC, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 53 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST3652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$573Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+63.7%+$364.48
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+26.4%+$67.06
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+29.9%+$23
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,663Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$2,662.74
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$210.85
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+43.9%+$163.85
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+65.9%+$186.73
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$701Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$701.2
LoL: DRX Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$38.89
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$201.61
LoL: DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO5) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$385.79
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+51.5%+$88.74
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$273.34
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$332.81
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$72
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+32.7%+$140.77
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$413.87
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$284.86
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$539Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+28.1%+$151.5
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+31.6%+$45.6
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$281.9
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$83.73
LoL: LGD Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+51.2%+$46.04
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+84.3%+$373.8
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+402.9%+$96.39
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST2839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Execration (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group Bbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40.37
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group Abacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+46%+$8.19
Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Aurora (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group Abacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11.52
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,529Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+41.5%+$634.57
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+244.8%+$56.09
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+99.2%+$88.63
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$593Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$592.77
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-Inbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+77.9%+$109.49
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+100%+$40
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs REKONIX (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$88.44
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$75.7
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GamerLegion (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$16.91
Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$220.2
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Dota 2: OG vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+185.7%+$53.31
Dota 2: Heroic vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+69.3%+$75.75
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.29
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+445.5%+$49
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$87.96
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$17.23
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+177.8%+$64
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$16.61
Will Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,449Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$1,448.82
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12.21
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+25.8%+$40.07
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+47.1%+$14.72
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$114.75
Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+422.7%+$61.46
Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12.08
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$379.24
Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+44.9%+$11.16
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$42.1
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+300%+$83.25
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$125.74
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+50.2%+$44.8
All 14 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-36%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16.05
Pelicans vs. Hornetsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$52.28
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+53.8%+$30.69
Nets vs. Knicksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 4 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+54.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$24.38
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+127.3%+$54.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+75.4%+$90.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Meta (META) close above $640 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+72.4%+$37.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+30%+$55.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Group A - Switzerland vs. Czechiabacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$65.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$42.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$155
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.