Token Launches · resolved market
Infinex FDV above $300M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a1c25ab0bf2a68a3a4318a224b9f906af372d45626636350a2b7e79717cc9e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $375,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $344,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $375,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 411 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e17…33f3backed No | 64c | 33,316$21,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +178.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x886a…17b6backed Yes | 36c | 18,381$6,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,591.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2048…f572backed Yes | 36c | 17,867$6,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,450.26 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…a41abacked Yes | 34c | 16,087$5,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,403.89 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…03c5backed Yes | 26c | 14,418$3,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,772.83 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…2dd9backed No | 73c | 14,000$10,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,830 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…a4e7backed No | 63c | 13,230$8,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,852.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…7b2fbacked Yes | 25c | 11,604$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940.08 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 75c | 11,165$8,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,844.57 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc5…67b3backed Yes | 34c | 10,880$3,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,670.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…467bbacked Yes | 35c | 6,673$2,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,305.5 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7aee…a444backed Yes | 35c | 6,175$2,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,147.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1111…ca23backed No | 53c | 6,082$3,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,858.56 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed Yes | 31c | 5,985$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.3 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd7…7df3backed Yes | 32c | 5,379$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…be2cbacked No | 65c | 5,224$3,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +140.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…846fbacked No | 65c | 5,000$3,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.5 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc007…5f9cbacked Yes | 34c | 4,410$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.48 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff44…b678backed Yes | 24c | 4,185$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.61 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed No | 62c | 4,155$2,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.45 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +13.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 29c | 4,091$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Yes | 30c | 3,985$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.15 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed Yes | 23c | 3,977$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.27 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d9…60f1backed No | 63c | 3,971$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.43 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x69ec…a0d3backed Yes | 33c | 3,551$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfd…57bcbacked Yes | 40c | 3,080$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked No | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d1…4aa7backed Yes | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1f…5317backed Yes | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…835ebacked No | 76c | 3,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…8bc2backed Yes | 27c | 2,982$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…16debacked No | 69c | 2,949$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.27 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed No | 65c | 2,931$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.01 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcae1…f52fbacked Yes | 35c | 2,861$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.54 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…c194backed Yes | 29c | 2,826$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a9…e3efbacked No | 73c | 2,730$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f06…39c7backed Yes | 29c | 2,643$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.58 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5c…60b3backed Yes | 39c | 2,495$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9040…b1dfbacked No | 68c | 2,482$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf5…c050backed Yes | 27c | 2,424$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.39 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -78%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc2…dbc6backed Yes | 26c | 2,313$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed No | 65c | 2,300$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.26 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf90b…cb6cbacked No | 62c | 2,300$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.77 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d1…cff2backed Yes | 42c | 2,222$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa13b…fa90backed Yes | 35c | 2,156$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1549…46f6backed Yes | 13c | 2,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2221…f1e4backed Yes | 34c | 1,998$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked No | 66c | 1,881$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.61 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed Yes | 39c | 1,859$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.07 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 79c | 1,766$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.42 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed No | 58c | 1,700$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714 | 144 | 37.5%54 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93c1…637ebacked Yes | 45c | 1,666$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,617$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.17 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc2…a786backed No | 71c | 1,528$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.78 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +5.7wins | +0.44per pick | 48cpaid | +105%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x826b…9c34backed No | 71c | 1,522$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +141.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,516$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.03 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +166%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2570…f79cbacked Yes | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e27…c659backed Yes | 4c | 1,500$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed No | 66c | 1,500$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…85c9backed Yes | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +7.3wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf8…6174backed No | 70c | 1,485$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.47 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1042…fe36backed No | 71c | 1,432$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.6 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…3852backed Yes | 39c | 1,400$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked Yes | 37c | 1,377$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.9 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…cda5backed Yes | 31c | 1,348$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x398a…1635backed Yes | 30c | 1,320$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 75c | 1,274$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.35 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 24c | 1,207$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.2 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28aa…28b8backed Yes | 30c | 1,200$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.28 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1b…92debacked Yes | 38c | 1,184$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.44 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x495a…52bfbacked No | 69c | 1,178$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed Yes | 34c | 1,161$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.82 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…1a89backed Yes | 10c | 1,146$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.05 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…f482backed Yes | 37c | 1,133$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff6…1855backed Yes | 36c | 1,129$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -52%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac33…35b5backed Yes | 23c | 1,115$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397b…d4bdbacked Yes | 24c | 1,088$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.39 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 47cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 1,047$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…e6d1backed Yes | 30c | 1,045$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.43 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +23.4wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed No | 65c | 1,012$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.6 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x822e…5febbacked No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb76e…3c04backed Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ea…0751backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed Yes | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc3…73d1backed Yes | 3c | 999.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2713…d1dfbacked Yes | 8c | 999.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca9…959abacked No | 63c | 951.35$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +4.0wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +291.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x553a…177fbacked No | 62c | 949.99$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.5 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a8…9850backed Yes | 28c | 928.97$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.24 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa172…b716backed Yes | 40c | 903.97$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.53 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94d5…afd6backed Yes | 30c | 900.37$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca74…0365backed Yes | 31c | 900.29$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked No | 59c | 900$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c25…8d52backed Yes | 17c | 890$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.26 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 63c | 881.57$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.83 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed No | 62c | 860$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.8 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6454…a8b5backed Yes | 26c | 843.95$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa543…609abacked Yes | 30c | 813.03$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…d40dbacked Yes | 30c | 800$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc0…dcd8backed Yes | 35c | 800$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Infinex FDV above $300M one day after launch?this page
- Infinex FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes won
- Infinex FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
- Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?No won
- Infinex FDV above $2B one day after launch?No won
- Infinex FDV above $3B one day after launch?No won
- Infinex FDV above $400M one day after launch?No won
- Infinex FDV above $4B one day after launch?No won
- Infinex FDV above $600M one day after launch?No won
- Infinex FDV above $800M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.