Token Launches · resolved market
Infinex FDV above $600M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1617b54eb8483b5f38244998dec36d5cd6ad82c5c0dc327695892ce47e57b953
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $197,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $232,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8c2…2d1cbacked Yes | 10c | 10,274$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c1…637ebacked Yes | 8c | 9,614$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 4,044$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 166 | 2.4%4 W · 162 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x886a…17b6backed Yes | 5c | 3,813$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.83 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 9c | 2,630$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.41 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x894d…6916backed Yes | 12c | 2,400$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…2240backed Yes | 4c | 2,388$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.1 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 2,337$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.85 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb187…bbe1backed Yes | 2c | 2,240$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x402e…5d12backed Yes | 9c | 2,238$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.27 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff44…b678backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1161…729abacked Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 1,884$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 142 | 4.2%6 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064f…ff5abacked Yes | 9c | 1,840$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28aa…28b8backed Yes | 5c | 1,830$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.54 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,761$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.46 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0d…570abacked Yes | 42c | 1,699$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.45 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,513$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +166%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2570…f79cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,167$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed No | 78c | 1,122$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.11 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…5ebcbacked Yes | 7c | 1,063$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e08…7788backed Yes | 20c | 1,046$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.74 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfd…57bcbacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f6…70e2backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e77…c4f3backed Yes | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cd…91ebbacked Yes | 7c | 998.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 988.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e69…d7e4backed Yes | 3c | 918.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…467bbacked Yes | 7c | 904.87$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.34 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…43febacked Yes | 3c | 881.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc030…3990backed Yes | 8c | 824$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa5…888fbacked No | 51c | 804.93$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.24 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed No | 72c | 801.42$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.54 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 7c | 756.51$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.37 | 75 | 4%3 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…d43fbacked Yes | 10c | 693.31$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.33 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc610…5d03backed Yes | 8c | 655.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a0…8f62backed Yes | 19c | 642.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.27 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ab…97a4backed Yes | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d0…af08backed Yes | 2c | 578.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…97f4backed No | 39c | 578.16$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.68 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | +11.9wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +54%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d40…362bbacked Yes | 8c | 555.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebae…58e8backed Yes | 8c | 549.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…803cbacked No | 74c | 541.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.01 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…37e9backed Yes | 5c | 526.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -56%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf604…36b3backed Yes | 26c | 509.08$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.64 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9be8…cc18backed Yes | 4c | 500.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…0613backed No | 38c | 500$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.06 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 59cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked No | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3934…8352backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x867b…93f5backed Yes | 8c | 499.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5173…1abcbacked Yes | 19c | 488.19$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b2…15a1backed Yes | 8c | 488.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e2…06fbbacked Yes | 6c | 480.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b3…1302backed Yes | 8c | 472.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936d…5c15backed Yes | 7c | 467.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ec…a0d3backed Yes | 7c | 456.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed No | 55c | 452.96$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.05 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d53…7bc0backed Yes | 8c | 431.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…9508backed Yes | 15c | 422.24$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 9c | 410.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 60 | 1.7%1 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 408.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 209 | 4.3%9 W · 200 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…f6aabacked Yes | 4c | 400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb67a…07aebacked Yes | 9c | 390$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed Yes | 10c | 360.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…3293backed Yes | 6c | 333.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd660…6cd0backed Yes | 8c | 330.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8622…cbf8backed Yes | 8c | 329.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…462ebacked Yes | 8c | 324.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…a67ebacked Yes | 8c | 324.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0091…0657backed Yes | 8c | 324.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x369f…7ba3backed No | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 7c | 300$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a6…2a95backed Yes | 3c | 294.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae2…8c70backed No | 60c | 275$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f3…80e4backed Yes | 19c | 259$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…224fbacked No | 39c | 254$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ba…cd4abacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55d…95f7backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…a34fbacked Yes | 10c | 237.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c3…7dd2backed Yes | 16c | 233.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd3…f709backed Yes | 62c | 230$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked Yes | 12c | 229.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9f…2412backed Yes | 8c | 229.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked No | 30c | 222$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.4 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…4a87backed Yes | 5c | 219.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f3…5d04backed No | 39c | 205.13$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.13 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa32c…c374backed Yes | 20c | 201.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.26per pick | 33cpaid | -78%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8043…91c8backed Yes | 8c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3f…0d48backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d8…ff32backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1960…ccf0backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2562…af8fbacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…dbf2backed Yes | 7c | 199.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…6fb8backed Yes | 9c | 197$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…884ebacked Yes | 15c | 195.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…ba32backed Yes | 9c | 195$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x337f…fc4dbacked No | 33c | 180$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…31a9backed No | 47c | 174$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 19c | 169$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 463 | 20.5%95 W · 368 L | -68.1wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xde63…46c2backed Yes | 23c | 163.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Infinex FDV above $600M one day after launch?this page
- Infinex FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes won
- Infinex FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
- Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?No won
- Infinex FDV above $2B one day after launch?No won
- Infinex FDV above $300M one day after launch?No won
- Infinex FDV above $3B one day after launch?No won
- Infinex FDV above $400M one day after launch?No won
- Infinex FDV above $4B one day after launch?No won
- Infinex FDV above $800M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.