TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x036f…31a9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
191
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$72.66
Will USD reach 1.6M Iranian rials by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.37
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.06
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$138.92
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$664Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$664.02
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+452.5%+$104.01
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+222.6%+$403.65
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$160.64
Will Israel strike 3 countries in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$77.4
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$167.58
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$44.15
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$217.07
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+49.3%+$8.91
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$110.88
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+108.3%+$34.84
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+88.7%+$96.35
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$484.4
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+104.1%+$148.41
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+376.2%+$204.61
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$127.2
Will Israel strike 2 countries in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$204.96
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+81.8%+$12.15
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+143.9%+$346.33
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT2564%16 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$307.8
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$410.28
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.59
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$237.81
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$176.64
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.08
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$149.42
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$549Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$305.61
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.45
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.87
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+128.3%+$268.64
Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$77.7
Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25.25
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$648Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$364.32
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.74
Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$63.76
Will the Orlando Magic win more than 51.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$101.79
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$128.32
Will Lauri Markkanen be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$160.16
Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+31.6%+$23.04
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$68.75
Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$62.7
Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$66.15
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,041Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+57.5%+$598.52
Will Trae Young be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$117.6
All 25 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-40.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$22.22
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+147.6%+$595.45
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$120.12
Will Emma Stone be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+38.9%+$171.36
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$61.48
Will Come See Me in the Good Light be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$132.48
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$300.03
Will Wunmi Mosaku be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$110.98
Will Zootopia 2 be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25.02
Will Joachim Trier be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$92.8
Will Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$46.2
Will "People We Meet on Vacation" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$86.52
Will "It Was Just an Accident" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+75.4%+$43.43
Will "The Secret Agent" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+194.1%+$236.28
Will KPop Demon Hunters win Best Motion Picture – Animated at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$126.31
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12.09
Will The Pitt win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$37.68
Will "Sarah Silverman: Postmortem" win Best Performance in Stand-Up Comedy on Television?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$36.5
Will Good Hang with Amy Poehler win Best Podcast at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+35.1%+$180.18
Will Owen Cooper (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actor – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$253.35
Will Sean Penn (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$49.92
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.6
All 24 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.84
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.34
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.9
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$639Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$237.97
Will Craig Federighi be the next CEO of Apple?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$130.41
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$177.87
Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.92
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.32
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$407.14
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.96
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$291.64
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.47
Will "Ayatollah" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+88.7%+$125.96
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$15.08
Will "Audit" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$29.14
Will "Elon" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$74.11
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.40 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$141.36
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+400%+$350.4
Google Gemini Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$472.62
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+270.4%+$1,073.83
Will Jensen Huang say "Lidar" during NVIDIA keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+122.2%+$202.95
All 21 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$272.67
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$494.1
Will Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$452.16
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.68
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$35.03
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$184.68
Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$86.88
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$147.43
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$258.33
Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$16.99
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+34.9%+$133.72
Will 60 to 89 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$107.2
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+233.3%+$43.4
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+61.8%+$92.83
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+47.1%+$43.2
All 15 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick27cpaid+104.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.46
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 59% and 60%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$224.77
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$66.24
Will Heart for The Hague (HvDH) win the most seats in The Hague’s 2026 municipal election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$19.6
Will GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25.16
Will Keir Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$96.75
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 55% and 58%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$80.16
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 14% and 16% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$104.06
Will António José Seguro win between 14% and 16% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$69.92
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+244.8%+$75.97
Will Franco Parisi endorse José Antonio Kast for President of Chile?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$27.35
Will Daniel Baluta finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+455.6%+$52.48
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$60.72
Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$71.04
Will LA MUDANZA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$444.64
Will the Denver Broncos be eliminated in the Super Bowl?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$85.51
Will Mike McCoy be fired by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+203%+$182.24
Will the Seattle Seahawks be eliminated in the Divisional Round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+72.4%+$315
Will Mike Kafka be fired by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$31.16
Will John Harbaugh join the New York Giants prior to April 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+75.4%+$87.72
Will Pete Carroll be fired by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$107.18
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-78.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+50.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-72.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-73.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+59.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-53.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+117.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+334.8%+$727.65
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21.25
Will NEC win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+127.3%+$67.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+284.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$121.73
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$287.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+809.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$370.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+455.6%+$323.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jerry Heil win Vidbir 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+143.9%+$53.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$265.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+51.5%+$197.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$197.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$134.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Paris Basketballbacked Paris Basketball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.