Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 20, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9eb3c6137ec7deb98c9a280feb54ff01777527eeb266c10760133d0532ead7a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7028…e0e9backed No | 2c | 1,860$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…59e9backed No | 66c | 1,500$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…462ebacked Yes | 49c | 1,407$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.87 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed No | 21c | 1,322$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.58 | 313 | 44.1%138 W · 175 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f56…2a4cbacked Yes | 29c | 1,042$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.29 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed Yes | 43c | 897$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.29 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 6c | 799$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 3c | 666$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 156 | 25%39 W · 117 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a16…0c03backed No | 51c | 658$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 50c | 530.43$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.06 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd4…c334backed No | 57c | 526$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.82 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e5…d252backed No | 56c | 524$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd07…0058backed Yes | 47c | 479$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.87 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…90d7backed Yes | 44c | 477$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.12 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ae…2b33backed No | 6c | 454.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…bb33backed No | 53c | 436$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.08 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +181.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed No | 65c | 346.89$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.63 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…db2abacked Yes | 43c | 341$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.37 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb74c…9c72backed No | 57c | 340$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…e62fbacked No | 57c | 337$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.09 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x863b…7c6fbacked Yes | 49c | 316$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a8…9b29backed Yes | 49c | 313$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.63 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f5…8f3cbacked Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9078…26afbacked Yes | 38c | 299.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.99 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 23c | 294$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.48 | 292 | 54.8%160 W · 132 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes | 39c | 259.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.28 | 284 | 38.7%110 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…8884backed Yes | 44c | 245$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +56%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…23bebacked Yes | 38c | 205.29$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.29 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33a…d8f7backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…31a9backed No | 56c | 198$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7252…9e6dbacked No | 42c | 185.03$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…fb20backed No | 56c | 176.32$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x129f…7b9ebacked No | 59c | 169.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.39 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 41c | 168.53$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.43 | 342 | 34.8%119 W · 223 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb0…f77dbacked Yes | 71c | 160.28$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.28 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…c419backed Yes | 64c | 153.49$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 51c | 152.55$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.15 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x62b1…a4c0backed Yes | 29c | 140$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb25f…a460backed Yes | 40c | 139.56$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.83 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…b248backed No | 74c | 138.13$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.8 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…0c32backed Yes | 64c | 137.82$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 21c | 133.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…0f2bbacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fda…4ebabacked No | 66c | 108.72$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6988…9f4ebacked Yes | 47c | 106.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.21 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed Yes | 28c | 104.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.89 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | +15.2wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +72%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac76…9359backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8257…da02backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…18debacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7081…b068backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad2…e9babacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 33c | 98.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.89 | 68 | 25%17 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54bb…59c7backed Yes | 61c | 98.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 164 | 17.7%29 W · 135 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90fa…cebdbacked Yes | 56c | 96.69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +602.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f6…1a0bbacked No | 58c | 93.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 33c | 90.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.51 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5352…e20ebacked No | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +43%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0378…5a37backed No | 54c | 87.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 46c | 86.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x251f…b5f8backed No | 60c | 83.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c24…b10ebacked Yes | 37c | 81.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.16 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -58%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…00c9backed No | 64c | 78.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7165…3d7abacked No | 62c | 69.17$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6d…0556backed No | 57c | 67.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 65c | 64.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd356…963dbacked Yes | 49c | 60.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +8.9wins | +0.30per pick | 40cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcc…8ef0backed No | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 49c | 58.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8497…a3b4backed No | 23c | 58.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea5…ac86backed Yes | 72c | 55.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b37…8722backed No | 22c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 64c | 50.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -23.0wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…9d52backed No | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5c…8b52backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fa…1327backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe101…06e7backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…7501backed Yes | 65c | 41.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86dd…1af2backed No | 30c | 40.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 164 | 33.5%55 W · 109 L | -19.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7266…491bbacked No | 51c | 38.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…283fbacked Yes | 62c | 38.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…3db4backed Yes | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f66…a5a7backed No | 57c | 35.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 60c | 34.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x647e…88c8backed No | 57c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 63c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +9.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 37c | 31.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 42c | 31.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 317 | 28.7%91 W · 226 L | -35.7wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1212…9aeebacked No | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef6c…33efbacked No | 50c | 29.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9435…e478backed Yes | 40c | 29.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66f2…2badbacked Yes | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b72…cd8ebacked Yes | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 47c | 26.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…916fbacked Yes | 47c | 25.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9127…f2dcbacked No | 68c | 25.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…0bfbbacked No | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…011cbacked No | 67c | 23.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 20, 2026?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 15, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 17, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 23, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 24, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 25, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 26, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 3, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 6, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 8, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.