Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06c6c67688fdf38ef3a9f5cb0eca73bf72e0c6084b7c138a94a1b9fe975402b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 14c | 1,604$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.26 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…59e9backed No | 68c | 1,459$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61b5…de77backed Yes | 14c | 1,438$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ab…434bbacked Yes | 43c | 1,435$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.01 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4165…da31backed No | 62c | 1,293$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.97 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee0…b4a1backed Yes | 1c | 1,209$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f56…2a4cbacked Yes | 32c | 961.83$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.05 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 2c | 858.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 2c | 844.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 228 | 2.6%6 W · 222 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x646f…23c3backed No | 55c | 750$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 722.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbe…f1d5backed No | 57c | 676$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.68 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…a2e0backed Yes | 48c | 649.57$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.1 | 86 | 7%6 W · 80 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 7c | 640.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 120 | 23.3%28 W · 92 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…c5a4backed Yes | 45c | 630.85$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe95b…1f15backed Yes | 44c | 552$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…c4e8backed No | 75c | 515$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.75 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459a…7a07backed No | 60c | 503.75$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…3591backed No | 61c | 494.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.62 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d8…4c30backed No | 56c | 444$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 26c | 437.86$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.12 | 68 | 25%17 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed Yes | 45c | 424.07$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.06 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7252…9e6dbacked No | 60c | 416.31$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.89 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…01a3backed Yes | 45c | 401$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.45 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 11c | 400$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 360 | 35.3%127 W · 233 L | -30.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 12c | 395.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 187 | 9.1%17 W · 170 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…6279backed Yes | 25c | 394$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…cd36backed No | 57c | 377$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.11 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e08…7e2ebacked Yes | 43c | 377$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad2…e9babacked Yes | 42c | 370.67$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.12 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…4d9abacked No | 53c | 363$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.61 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 36c | 354$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.44 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…f66fbacked Yes | 11c | 349.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +136.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6558…e485backed Yes | 45c | 349$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.05 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…5535backed No | 62c | 332.69$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 72c | 312.2$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.54 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed Yes | 44c | 305$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.2 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 22c | 304.62$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…d42ebacked No | 56c | 283$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.52 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 59c | 271.6$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…10e6backed No | 79c | 253.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c28…fc1abacked Yes | 36c | 252.8$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadbd…93f9backed No | 56c | 238$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.72 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Yes | 41c | 235.62$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7833…d56cbacked Yes | 43c | 233$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…23bebacked Yes | 14c | 231.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…fb20backed No | 60c | 226.17$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.57 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3960…0975backed Yes | 22c | 225.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 25c | 219.53$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 6c | 214.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 413 | 6.8%28 W · 385 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf657…d8cebacked No | 62c | 202$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f5…8f3cbacked Yes | 33c | 200$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe33a…d8f7backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9078…26afbacked Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354c…b301backed Yes | 44c | 182$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…8033backed No | 55c | 180.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.46 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 38c | 175$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 25c | 173.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 56c | 171.53$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.74 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…a1ffbacked No | 53c | 169$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.43 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc1…775ebacked No | 55c | 163.18$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 37c | 151.66$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 313 | 44.1%138 W · 175 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x469e…2411backed No | 55c | 149.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86dd…1af2backed No | 57c | 149.49$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.22 | 164 | 33.5%55 W · 109 L | -19.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…12e4backed No | 55c | 146.46$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.41 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b92…7585backed No | 53c | 145$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bc…0648backed No | 64c | 140.03$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 35c | 140$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…b9d1backed Yes | 42c | 131.57$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62b1…a4c0backed Yes | 30c | 130$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…59f7backed No | 56c | 128.46$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00b…fbcabacked No | 56c | 127$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…c419backed Yes | 27c | 123$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d82…ed61backed Yes | 41c | 121.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090c…3c25backed Yes | 44c | 120$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 39c | 118$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d1…c800backed Yes | 44c | 117.46$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.91 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb2…1993backed Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 32c | 104.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4647…23aebacked Yes | 39c | 102.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…90d7backed Yes | 43c | 102$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 296 | 53.7%159 W · 137 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b60…49bfbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54bb…59c7backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 164 | 17.7%29 W · 135 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7081…b068backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcb…38aebacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa90a…da95backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ab…c2a6backed No | 62c | 97.12$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53f4…a78dbacked No | 55c | 90.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac76…9359backed No | 79c | 87.92$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…5ed0backed No | 50c | 86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed Yes | 19c | 82.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 139 | 18.7%26 W · 113 L | -13.9wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca16…f878backed Yes | 42c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…8075backed Yes | 17c | 79.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…3db4backed Yes | 40c | 75.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ec…5968backed Yes | 41c | 74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 55c | 72.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd356…963dbacked Yes | 49c | 72.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +8.9wins | +0.30per pick | 40cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed No | 70c | 71.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +9.2wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 25c | 71.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 15, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 17, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 20, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 23, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 24, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 25, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 26, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 3, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 6, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 8, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.