Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 25, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5b1207ec007d52618c5033e2f68d9a8d4458ce8783ebc38cd1392e7cb5902ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,751
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,751 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4060…3ec3backed Yes | 0c | 7,369$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…ce76backed Yes | 9c | 4,373$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.49 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a4…a4babacked Yes | 0c | 3,305$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e42…0dfebacked Yes | 1c | 2,717$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 165 | 7.3%12 W · 153 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f56…2a4cbacked Yes | 31c | 1,743$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.66 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1424…2c7fbacked Yes | 17c | 1,580$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.66 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,555$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Yes | 10c | 1,381$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f2…e1dcbacked No | 64c | 1,031$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +1,401.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 944.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c2…aa71backed Yes | 44c | 859$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.96 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…b2b5backed Yes | 11c | 699.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 3c | 681.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb6…6d5fbacked Yes | 37c | 602$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.74 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 70c | 600.66$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.49 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -23.0wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6558…e485backed No | 56c | 586$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.84 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…0c32backed Yes | 20c | 582.49$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.9 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0eb…e702backed No | 70c | 532.08$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.98 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 5c | 527.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 113 | 20.4%23 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 4c | 525.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed No | 66c | 515.19$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.58 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4165…da31backed No | 69c | 506.46$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.46 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33a…d8f7backed Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…e80fbacked No | 68c | 443.51$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.51 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…c419backed Yes | 36c | 435.02$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.56 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 35c | 405.91$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.3 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090c…3c25backed No | 56c | 392$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.48 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf06d…db77backed No | 63c | 369$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.53 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 36c | 334.75$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.65 | 313 | 44.1%138 W · 175 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…4c39backed No | 58c | 329.31$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.31 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked Yes | 23c | 320.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.77 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 313.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…d13ebacked Yes | 25c | 299.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 6c | 299.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 247 | 6.9%17 W · 230 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 75c | 298.49$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.78 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf100…2fcabacked No | 56c | 286$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.84 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 42c | 285.15$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.76 | 342 | 34.8%119 W · 223 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ec…5968backed Yes | 34c | 278.4$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc0…4942backed Yes | 44c | 275$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…00a9backed No | 67c | 273.29$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 62cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4d…bf6fbacked No | 76c | 270$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.66 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f6…595cbacked No | 63c | 233$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.21 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed49…8785backed No | 68c | 220.35$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d90…b960backed No | 71c | 200.74$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.97 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f5…8f3cbacked Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…23bebacked Yes | 43c | 187.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…5813backed No | 67c | 180.95$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 33c | 178.68$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.39 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf734…7382backed No | 66c | 159.16$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 30c | 154.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…59e9backed No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe124…9d4ebacked No | 75c | 140.54$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed Yes | 36c | 139.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | +15.2wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +72%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 79c | 136.22$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12e3…dbd4backed Yes | 44c | 130$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62b1…a4c0backed Yes | 33c | 129.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…2925backed No | 78c | 128.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f75…550abacked Yes | 24c | 124.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44e2…b51abacked No | 66c | 113.41$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…f2f3backed No | 78c | 113.38$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac76…9359backed No | 72c | 102.22$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8257…da02backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…6e67backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…d46abacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9078…26afbacked Yes | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54bb…59c7backed Yes | 33c | 99.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 164 | 17.7%29 W · 135 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x872e…e58fbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed No | 73c | 94.7$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcc…10e7backed No | 58c | 86.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 72c | 85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf567…b53cbacked Yes | 17c | 84.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…5ed0backed No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8231…22e4backed Yes | 40c | 79.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +11.7wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cf…1e59backed No | 59c | 74.52$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes | 35c | 72.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 284 | 38.7%110 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa53d…9710backed No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 46c | 65.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1301…2cf7backed No | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ab…d883backed No | 63c | 63.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed No | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb543…9961backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f2…25b0backed No | 66c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe423…2492backed No | 64c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06db…5244backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…e305backed Yes | 34c | 58.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…0932backed No | 54c | 57.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d82…ed61backed Yes | 38c | 53.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb1…3fbebacked No | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 47cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22b0…ef31backed No | 66c | 51.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3074…bae5backed No | 58c | 51.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda7…85e6backed No | 69c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 58c | 48.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 292 | 54.8%160 W · 132 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda2d…56e2backed No | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb798…7030backed No | 72c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafd8…9b9dbacked No | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 67c | 37.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc9…63b2backed No | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…2e44backed No | 74c | 34.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 25, 2026?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 15, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 17, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 20, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 23, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 24, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 26, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 3, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 6, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 8, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.