Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 17, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4339c3a37eaf207013b61f0d6534797862545773586cfe1af9e7af8cc4681e53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $183,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $189,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1369…bd79backed No | 0c | 52,012$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf1…e06bbacked No | 6c | 39,424$2,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,273.61 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71c…7263backed No | 0c | 8,702$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ef…b723backed No | 0c | 4,029$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…66acbacked No | 11c | 2,761$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.36 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 20c | 2,247$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.61 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd022…d7a0backed No | 63c | 1,480$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c28…fc1abacked Yes | 38c | 1,104$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf22…5473backed Yes | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.08 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a68…4182backed No | 3c | 1,042$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc537…f385backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec0…76f4backed Yes | 47c | 990$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed No | 7c | 949.1$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.54 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 39c | 942.51$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.23 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354c…b301backed Yes | 45c | 860$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…115ebacked Yes | 39c | 815$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.15 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…aa1abacked No | 76c | 798$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.48 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb212…0f8ebacked No | 61c | 710$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.46per pick | 63cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…a326backed No | 74c | 686.8$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f56…2a4cbacked Yes | 34c | 672.55$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.74 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 3c | 666$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 156 | 25%39 W · 117 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…f562backed Yes | 24c | 656$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.56 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…efc8backed No | 64c | 651.5$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…a2e0backed Yes | 47c | 622.43$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 86 | 7%6 W · 80 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…24efbacked No | 59c | 599$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.41 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…5339backed No | 53c | 544$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.32 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8669…7111backed No | 55c | 538$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33e3…00dabacked Yes | 63c | 536.04$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.74 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5236…ab18backed No | 60c | 498.21$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6813…39e6backed Yes | 41c | 471$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 17c | 465.46$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.66 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +77.8wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 76+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0d…1683backed Yes | 41c | 445$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.55 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…c5a4backed Yes | 43c | 408.06$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.06 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…6d90backed No | 61c | 403$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc0…4942backed Yes | 39c | 383$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ae…bb88backed No | 61c | 375$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.75 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a84…f8a5backed No | 61c | 370$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9818…7cd3backed Yes | 39c | 370$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.7 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ae…2b33backed No | 7c | 360$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…6015backed Yes | 44c | 343.66$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.66 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 56c | 329.47$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.18 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 43c | 321.68$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.5 | 68 | 25%17 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7252…9e6dbacked No | 54c | 320.73$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.52 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe17a…c6fbbacked Yes | 39c | 312$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.32 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 3c | 300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f5…8f3cbacked Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad2…e9babacked Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4647…23aebacked Yes | 51c | 297.9$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.17 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x540a…64c9backed Yes | 45c | 297.23$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.04 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -8.8wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x54bb…59c7backed Yes | 47c | 297.08$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.08 | 164 | 17.7%29 W · 135 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f80…7be8backed Yes | 67c | 296.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.96 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66e8…0838backed Yes | 68c | 295.62$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.62 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…a794backed No | 59c | 282$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…d42ebacked No | 55c | 268$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9078…26afbacked Yes | 38c | 259.19$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.7 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Yes | 54c | 258.6$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.39 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…03ffbacked Yes | 35c | 258.33$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 34c | 248.66$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.39 | 292 | 54.8%160 W · 132 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…9effbacked Yes | 42c | 236.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.22 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed Yes | 45c | 221.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.74 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8257…da02backed Yes | 43c | 192.17$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.54 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf8…0657backed No | 59c | 189$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.51 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…eddebacked No | 58c | 172.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca16…f878backed Yes | 46c | 161.13$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.13 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03c3…6050backed No | 56c | 160.2$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…bd74backed Yes | 41c | 154$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.86 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e42…032dbacked Yes | 40c | 149.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e1…b640backed No | 67c | 148.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cb…933ebacked Yes | 24c | 142$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.92 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…9d52backed No | 8c | 137$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6988…9f4ebacked Yes | 46c | 134.88$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.88 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…c88dbacked Yes | 60c | 129.4$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.07 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…1376backed Yes | 50c | 128.83$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 30c | 102.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29bb…6d18backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7081…b068backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe33a…d8f7backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ec…41d1backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa90a…da95backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8903…0dc2backed No | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 52c | 99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -23.0wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc1…775ebacked No | 56c | 97.9$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6560…e164backed Yes | 52c | 97.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf75…02d1backed No | 55c | 90.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e34…554bbacked No | 67c | 85.29$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 48c | 82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed No | 60c | 76.07$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 44c | 74.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…2e44backed Yes | 54c | 74.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 27c | 69.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 187 | 9.1%17 W · 170 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa424…d2d9backed No | 64c | 69.21$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…23bebacked Yes | 44c | 67.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.61 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f7…c922backed No | 57c | 66.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd356…963dbacked Yes | 54c | 65.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +8.9wins | +0.30per pick | 40cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed No | 59c | 65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 200 | 35.5%71 W · 129 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe19c…0b8dbacked Yes | 42c | 63.64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 41c | 63.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…fb20backed No | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…c419backed Yes | 51c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae1d…e333backed Yes | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 188 | 33.5%63 W · 125 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 17, 2026?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 15, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 20, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 23, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 24, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 25, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 26, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 3, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 6, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 8, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.