Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x348ade0c7df38c4fc23abb31eb7d74ee6bc7064dc0e2709a872be434857de1a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $765,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $760,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $765,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 593 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 13c | 19,696$2,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,631.49 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbae…7b24backed Yes | 16c | 18,493$2,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,580.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +534.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c28…fc1abacked No | 0c | 17,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5664…f163backed No | 46c | 13,742$6,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,352.28 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ea…b02abacked No | 1c | 12,273$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.07 | 105 | 13.3%14 W · 91 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 24c | 12,229$2,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,233.23 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54bb…59c7backed No | 0c | 12,131$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 164 | 17.7%29 W · 135 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed No | 18c | 10,735$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.77 | 287 | 34.5%99 W · 188 L | +21.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…4597backed Yes | 10c | 10,508$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,452.23 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +18.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…f694backed No | 64c | 10,280$6,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,542.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…54c2backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b1…38f5backed Yes | 11c | 9,759$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,688.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 55c | 7,287$4,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,257.26 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 62c | 6,799$4,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,234.63 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 25c | 6,622$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.88 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ee…1128backed No | 0c | 6,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x359d…d7ebbacked No | 6c | 6,245$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.1 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25fd…e685backed Yes | 62c | 5,866$3,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,223.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked No | 71c | 5,855$4,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,180.21 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb01…02e5backed Yes | 13c | 5,683$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,936.18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 16cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…986bbacked No | 2c | 5,671$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.41 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789a…1ddabacked Yes | 55c | 5,524$3,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,468.32 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4586…c4bebacked Yes | 70c | 5,211$3,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf65b…3588backed No | 2c | 4,910$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c73…44f4backed No | 56c | 4,818$2,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,685.31 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeed…1433backed Yes | 47c | 4,758$2,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.72 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…4f7bbacked No | 1c | 4,133$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…59f7backed No | 1c | 4,094$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5197…610fbacked Yes | 58c | 3,991$2,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed No | 50c | 3,858$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.77 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6988…9f4ebacked Yes | 43c | 3,631$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,062.05 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7657backed Yes | 46c | 3,399$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.45per pick | 27cpaid | +132.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 70c | 3,373$2,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.01 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed No | 31c | 3,363$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.72 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked No | 62c | 3,191$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.68 | 204 | 38.7%79 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…97e9backed Yes | 36c | 3,189$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,053.67 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed No | 4c | 3,152$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.1 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0479…f2ddbacked No | 79c | 2,997$2,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,366.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c4…0926backed No | 73c | 2,965$2,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,162.51 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd62…6a7ebacked No | 70c | 2,818$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…a5fbbacked No | 61c | 2,796$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.93 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb1…c109backed No | 71c | 2,700$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf1…e06bbacked Yes | 22c | 2,649$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0548…66a0backed No | 15c | 2,575$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.82 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 47c | 2,500$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.76 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…12f1backed No | 67c | 2,464$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.43 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed No | 34c | 2,415$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.05 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 4c | 2,400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbd…2bfbbacked No | 26c | 2,399$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc043…eb1bbacked No | 66c | 2,374$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.6 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…70f6backed Yes | 14c | 2,318$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.32 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…6442backed No | 1c | 2,313$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 15c | 2,282$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.76 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed Yes | 78c | 2,115$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.4 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…fc51backed No | 38c | 2,106$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.08 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Yes | 38c | 2,064$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.7 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60a7…6d60backed No | 22c | 1,994$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.17 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed Yes | 55c | 1,985$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.77 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15ae…2b33backed No | 52c | 1,977$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.88 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb60d…bfb5backed No | 8c | 1,922$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 40c | 1,871$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.78 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…3a04backed Yes | 42c | 1,868$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.37 | 201 | 31.8%64 W · 137 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee3b…657cbacked No | 54c | 1,798$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.1 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x665d…5bd3backed Yes | 39c | 1,777$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 14c | 1,754$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.3 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f56…2a4cbacked Yes | 29c | 1,700$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cb…3accbacked No | 27c | 1,700$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x184f…45a1backed No | 65c | 1,679$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e31…454dbacked Yes | 70c | 1,675$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.28 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 12c | 1,664$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.39 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 45c | 1,597$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.97 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 29c | 1,589$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.33 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b1…0a31backed No | 2c | 1,514$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed No | 38c | 1,488$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.48 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…649cbacked Yes | 61c | 1,484$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.72 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…9effbacked Yes | 66c | 1,458$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.96 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…fe57backed Yes | 14c | 1,424$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.36 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89a7…e7dbbacked No | 73c | 1,418$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.39 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 77c | 1,357$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.69 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0b…69e6backed Yes | 74c | 1,348$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.73 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfa…f779backed Yes | 14c | 1,348$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.16 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dfa…9c89backed No | 17c | 1,334$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.02 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed No | 50c | 1,309$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.08 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked No | 11c | 1,248$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 156 | 29.5%46 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 68c | 1,172$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.23 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3695…0c7cbacked No | 44c | 1,140$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 27cpaid | +252%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e40…224ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,137$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.04 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…2e44backed Yes | 30c | 1,081$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.51 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf24c…69d5backed No | 58c | 1,072$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.79 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x367a…d7c0backed Yes | 25c | 1,054$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.28 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf5…d8d5backed No | 14c | 1,047$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…7e33backed No | 12c | 1,044$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…321ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,031$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.6 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bc…026cbacked Yes | 32c | 987.93$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.2 | 99 | 30.3%30 W · 69 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…7c05backed No | 46c | 941.5$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.44 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f7…6764backed Yes | 67c | 926.1$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.29 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +46%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bd…ceaabacked Yes | 24c | 920.41$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.87 | 215 | 37.7%81 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked No | 39c | 907.25$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.85 | 160 | 41.9%67 W · 93 L | +12.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07cf…a9fabacked No | 80c | 899.99$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…e0e9backed No | 46c | 883.23$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.02 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 15, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 17, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 20, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 23, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 24, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 25, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 26, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 3, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 6, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 8, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.