Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 15, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfae7743f674e0b227ccbb928245fc210ff4c91c3403b63ca233836033b58861c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 0c | 12,750$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b67…aba0backed No | 0c | 6,223$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed No | 0c | 5,250$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 228 | 2.6%6 W · 222 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6968…4ff5backed No | 0c | 4,200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +643.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…97e9backed No | 10c | 2,931$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.39 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c73…44f4backed No | 21c | 2,870$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.38 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed No | 1c | 2,015$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 139 | 18.7%26 W · 113 L | -13.9wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Yes | 70c | 1,892$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.72 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…d749backed No | 1c | 1,802$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 66 | 0%0 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 4c | 1,744$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…4a1cbacked Yes | 78c | 1,645$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.08 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 60c | 1,618$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.86 | 313 | 44.1%138 W · 175 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…2b63backed No | 1c | 1,531$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…ce76backed No | 4c | 1,472$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.67 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x909f…a8c3backed No | 1c | 1,310$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 23cpaid | +233.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 7c | 1,277$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.62 | 129 | 18.6%24 W · 105 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 6c | 1,134$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.44 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 24c | 1,035$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.89 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 4c | 960.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf1…e06bbacked No | 41c | 923.07$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.9 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed Yes | 51c | 918$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.82 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 9c | 900.13$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.65 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…20f5backed No | 6c | 789.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 213 | 33.8%72 W · 141 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb60d…bfb5backed No | 43c | 774.53$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e9…0dc9backed No | 1c | 771.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -58%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x184f…45a1backed No | 68c | 734.71$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ad…a5cabacked No | 21c | 728.5$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.99 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…91bfbacked No | 49c | 700$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…48dabacked Yes | 50c | 678$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb89e…d36cbacked No | 22c | 642.35$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 26c | 591.42$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.04 | 68 | 25%17 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 76c | 576.64$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.14 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b2…0eb2backed Yes | 46c | 558$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.32 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…986bbacked No | 13c | 523.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.95 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…4bffbacked No | 50c | 513$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…fb20backed No | 45c | 504.72$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.34 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6df…65b1backed No | 2c | 504.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 45c | 499.97$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.99 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9078…26afbacked Yes | 41c | 473.86$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.65 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c1…2f84backed Yes | 37c | 449$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 70c | 433.67$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.22 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 4c | 432.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33a…d8f7backed Yes | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…91a5backed No | 12c | 373.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 18c | 373.17$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.49 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…ac22backed Yes | 46c | 369$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.26 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6509…ab24backed Yes | 54c | 345.61$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.29 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +201.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c9…6bdebacked No | 54c | 344$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.76 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6286…f59cbacked No | 5c | 327.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 255 | 18%46 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…2372backed No | 63c | 316$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.08 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a7…6d60backed No | 5c | 303.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 5c | 299$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 292 | 54.8%160 W · 132 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed Yes | 37c | 292.69$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ae…2b33backed No | 4c | 285$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc140…ac80backed No | 43c | 279.96$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.78 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6560…e164backed Yes | 62c | 274.91$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.42 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f5…8f3cbacked Yes | 31c | 264.76$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.57 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf65b…3588backed No | 57c | 262.21$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked No | 39c | 259.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 29.5%46 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…dab5backed No | 6c | 256.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b72…cd8ebacked No | 54c | 256$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.24 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f56…2a4cbacked Yes | 35c | 237.25$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.05 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 23c | 237.16$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.71 | 344 | 32.3%111 W · 233 L | -31.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4252…4a6ebacked No | 63c | 233.67$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.21 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed Yes | 66c | 233.36$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.93 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | +15.2wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +72%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x46ef…b723backed Yes | 72c | 232.62$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.22 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…27bfbacked No | 8c | 231.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 114 | 18.4%21 W · 93 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…11cfbacked No | 13c | 230.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…9effbacked Yes | 62c | 226.71$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…90d7backed No | 49c | 218$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.82 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…6015backed Yes | 62c | 216.81$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.49 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3983…4f1abacked No | 37c | 215.8$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee3b…657cbacked No | 47c | 214.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe95b…1f15backed No | 54c | 214$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked No | 23c | 210.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa322…28e9backed Yes | 47c | 210$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd139…71a5backed Yes | 47c | 210$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd464…0dd6backed Yes | 47c | 210$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc99…f59fbacked Yes | 47c | 210$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaf…a85abacked Yes | 47c | 210$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb611…be25backed No | 53c | 210$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea7…2057backed No | 53c | 210$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x594c…43e9backed No | 53c | 210$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24b…c1e4backed No | 53c | 210$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257f…a582backed No | 53c | 210$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4985…0413backed No | 53c | 210$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x494a…c135backed Yes | 47c | 210$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x385c…73eabacked Yes | 47c | 210$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75b…4d60backed Yes | 47c | 210$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dff…da9cbacked Yes | 47c | 210$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x106c…e094backed Yes | 47c | 210$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8e…682ebacked No | 53c | 210$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…6f2ebacked No | 53c | 210$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…b85dbacked No | 53c | 210$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a66…5410backed No | 53c | 210$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca16…f878backed Yes | 65c | 203.16$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.3 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Yes | 79c | 200.87$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed No | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 62c | 199.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.99 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…1376backed Yes | 65c | 194.4$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.19 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 15, 2026?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 17, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 20, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 23, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 24, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 25, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 26, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 3, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 6, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 8, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.