Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaedd8c61fbcfa8cada9403043d397492e6c664eea4e32f32d25bd5865a9bad49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $239,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $243,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $239,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 305 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 72c | 11,106$7,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,108.04 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f56…2a4cbacked No | 3c | 10,360$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.43 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked No | 19c | 9,696$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.16 | 156 | 29.5%46 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 5c | 7,503$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.61 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5664…f163backed Yes | 75c | 5,502$4,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.13 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdf…cce6backed No | 0c | 5,291$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 77c | 4,879$3,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.06 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 57c | 4,528$2,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.67 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9939…d3bebacked No | 4c | 3,973$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.76 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c9…8072backed No | 69c | 3,506$2,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,419.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…97e9backed No | 28c | 2,987$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.14 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 21c | 2,701$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.81 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec0b…69e6backed Yes | 42c | 2,280$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.75 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ae…2b33backed No | 20c | 2,200$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.93 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 9c | 2,178$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.69 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0479…f2ddbacked No | 34c | 2,139$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…9effbacked Yes | 78c | 1,855$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.68 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e49…cc2abacked No | 11c | 1,811$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 18c | 1,756$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.16 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 17c | 1,711$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.16 | 68 | 25%17 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3344…9175backed No | 12c | 1,599$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.49per pick | 26cpaid | +155.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaa…51dfbacked Yes | 53c | 1,587$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.01 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | +9.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…d0a1backed No | 19c | 1,531$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc976…0ad5backed No | 29c | 1,514$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.99 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d22…da8bbacked Yes | 40c | 1,464$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.44 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 11c | 1,448$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.13 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 30c | 1,419$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.27 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked No | 27c | 1,417$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.2 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +24.9wins | +0.25per pick | 30cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 77c | 1,413$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.14 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d8…3ce3backed No | 29c | 1,352$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf888…1c04backed No | 60c | 1,289$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked No | 35c | 1,229$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.6 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea0…fcddbacked No | 3c | 1,210$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed No | 19c | 1,187$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.91 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 66c | 1,129$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.73 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes | 70c | 1,117$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.34 | 284 | 38.7%110 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89a7…e7dbbacked Yes | 66c | 1,097$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.98 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 38c | 1,080$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.32 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 9c | 1,071$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.17 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 75c | 1,056$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.32 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x711c…8495backed No | 14c | 1,000$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.08 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be1…3feabacked No | 7c | 1,000$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 10cpaid | +333.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c76…d4eebacked No | 16c | 933.98$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.13 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -5.7wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x81d7…f1b0backed No | 29c | 928.97$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.79 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 11c | 913.79$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.99 | 238 | 4.6%11 W · 227 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cc…70babacked No | 39c | 897.05$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.41 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…c286backed No | 53c | 793.57$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.8 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed No | 57c | 770.4$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.45 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6988…9f4ebacked Yes | 52c | 715.9$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.13 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…4f89backed Yes | 76c | 713.95$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.01 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 70c | 682.05$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.59 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 66c | 656.24$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.14 | 264 | 29.2%77 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes | 68c | 652.78$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.77 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb74c…b149backed No | 35c | 638.32$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.87 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9147…f424backed No | 43c | 631.74$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.59 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 76c | 630.18$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.42 | 160 | 41.9%67 W · 93 L | +12.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac76…9359backed No | 30c | 602.14$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.65 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa5…23d2backed No | 14c | 595.9$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed No | 6c | 593.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 287 | 34.5%99 W · 188 L | +21.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…69cebacked No | 18c | 582.37$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x909f…a8c3backed No | 27c | 569.43$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 23cpaid | +233.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 13c | 543.9$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.45 | 413 | 6.8%28 W · 385 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9774…6d3cbacked Yes | 37c | 527.19$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.13 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1427…145abacked No | 39c | 510.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.08 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…37c7backed No | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.34per pick | 48cpaid | +141.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed No | 5c | 500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 144 | 2.8%4 W · 140 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…2082backed No | 31c | 497.58$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00dc…d521backed No | 47c | 490.63$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.79 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…bac4backed Yes | 54c | 462.4$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.99 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc49…db74backed No | 53c | 455.52$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.94 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92d…bffcbacked No | 59c | 450.42$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1edd…be0fbacked No | 45c | 429.81$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c77…6e76backed No | 24c | 424.69$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54bb…59c7backed Yes | 58c | 416.38$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.76 | 164 | 17.7%29 W · 135 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…b248backed No | 32c | 414.74$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 5c | 400$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 247 | 6.9%17 W · 230 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d09ebacked No | 23c | 399.97$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf65b…3588backed No | 28c | 395.62$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…9ad6backed Yes | 64c | 391.8$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.8 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +10.0wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe33a…d8f7backed Yes | 78c | 389.92$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.52 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 17c | 386.31$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed No | 67c | 364.81$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.31 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ec…5968backed No | 31c | 360.01$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.98 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed No | 12c | 358.87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…7c05backed No | 23c | 357.83$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.94 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3337…30c2backed No | 28c | 350.61$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96c…9014backed No | 10c | 334.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7d…98b6backed No | 5c | 331.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1b…4b36backed No | 59c | 330.98$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…f76abacked No | 3c | 320.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed No | 14c | 316.74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.12 | 313 | 44.1%138 W · 175 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…be04backed No | 66c | 314$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…8884backed Yes | 34c | 314$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.24 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +56%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…5c8abacked No | 60c | 309.65$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a59…f2f0backed No | 43c | 309.21$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 38c | 308.98$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.38 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x184f…45a1backed No | 65c | 308.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed Yes | 63c | 301.46$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.75 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | +15.2wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +72%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f6…8683backed No | 24c | 301.41$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 15, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 17, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 20, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 23, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 24, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 25, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 26, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 3, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 6, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 8, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.