Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 23, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x656cba5ce332ade89b3d877d16ced62740257d80a5cd3a54c7c1a25b5376760c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f56…2a4cbacked Yes | 17c | 3,358$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.67 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…c419backed Yes | 4c | 1,449$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.94 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e42…0dfebacked Yes | 2c | 1,374$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 165 | 7.3%12 W · 153 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f404backed Yes | 48c | 848$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.04 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x427e…5ab4backed No | 55c | 820$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Yes | 33c | 777.77$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.66 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 1c | 762.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd907…f15fbacked Yes | 47c | 759$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.73 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…462ebacked Yes | 65c | 720.04$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.41 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…fb20backed No | 50c | 609.09$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.09 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4647…23aebacked Yes | 5c | 602.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3f…6e13backed Yes | 44c | 595$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e08…7e2ebacked Yes | 43c | 587$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 6c | 577.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 120 | 23.3%28 W · 92 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bc…43e9backed No | 52c | 574$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…90d7backed Yes | 43c | 544$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.92 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7252…9e6dbacked No | 67c | 505.25$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.29 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…56e8backed No | 57c | 481$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.83 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…5bc1backed No | 53c | 476$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.72 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 2c | 455.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 199 | 5%10 W · 189 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes | 50c | 437.67$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6988…9f4ebacked No | 77c | 434.19$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.55 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 46c | 433.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 59c | 383.89$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.04 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9f9ebacked Yes | 44c | 376$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6962…745ebacked No | 60c | 374.17$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.17 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…3ea7backed No | 54c | 369$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.74 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde62…64f6backed No | 53c | 325$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.75 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…09adbacked No | 56c | 308$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.52 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84f3…e6aabacked No | 57c | 285$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.55 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad5…6f41backed No | 52c | 274$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.52 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce65…66fdbacked No | 57c | 262$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.66 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c90…17fbbacked Yes | 43c | 262$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4805backed No | 57c | 259$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.37 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…e898backed No | 77c | 252$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe794…321cbacked Yes | 23c | 252$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 54c | 248.48$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.17 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -23.0wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 14c | 230.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…e80fbacked No | 44c | 227.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.12 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 72c | 220.59$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.71 | 68 | 25%17 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…00a9backed No | 43c | 216.96$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.42 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 62cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac76…9359backed No | 67c | 200.07$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…c83bbacked Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb0…f77dbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Yes | 49c | 195.97$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.03 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd4…5b42backed Yes | 54c | 185.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…f7debacked No | 55c | 182.97$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 16c | 181.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f75…550abacked Yes | 56c | 177.93$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked No | 57c | 175.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.81 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb25f…a460backed Yes | 43c | 174.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.96 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc207…b24ebacked No | 74c | 168.89$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…5b18backed Yes | 45c | 157$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.65 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33a…d8f7backed Yes | 35c | 150$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…2925backed No | 76c | 141.07$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…2e44backed No | 63c | 129.41$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.41 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 43c | 126.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 74c | 115.38$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…528bbacked No | 57c | 106$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cf…1e59backed No | 55c | 105.58$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.38 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x367a…d7c0backed No | 42c | 105.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.64 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca16…f878backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.43 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 284 | 38.7%110 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…0e01backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…27bfbacked Yes | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 114 | 18.4%21 W · 93 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked Yes | 39c | 96.02$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…1376backed Yes | 63c | 95.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.23 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…23bebacked Yes | 47c | 95.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc0…7ea2backed No | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf532…b8fbbacked No | 55c | 91.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee2c…f08abacked No | 54c | 91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd12b…43a9backed No | 64c | 86.76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa726…7d9bbacked No | 65c | 84.62$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c18…192abacked Yes | 25c | 82.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed Yes | 29c | 81.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 200 | 35.5%71 W · 129 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62b1…a4c0backed Yes | 37c | 74.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1427…145abacked No | 70c | 73.58$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 48c | 71.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed Yes | 20c | 69.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 139 | 18.7%26 W · 113 L | -13.9wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35b2…8abdbacked Yes | 45c | 68.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde58…4a92backed No | 69c | 65.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98fa…3528backed No | 71c | 65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e8…ac57backed Yes | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 40c | 58.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 317 | 28.7%91 W · 226 L | -35.7wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5177…1020backed No | 56c | 56.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 70cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccad…46ecbacked No | 54c | 55.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…4c39backed No | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86dd…1af2backed Yes | 43c | 52.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 164 | 33.5%55 W · 109 L | -19.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…5066backed Yes | 21c | 51.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb297…d832backed Yes | 46c | 48.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…5ed0backed No | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ae…2b33backed No | 59c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6034…b5fdbacked Yes | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd8…9b9dbacked No | 58c | 41.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d6…3ae3backed No | 73c | 41.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22b0…ef31backed No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c50…22fdbacked No | 55c | 38.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd268…5609backed No | 49c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 23, 2026?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 15, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 17, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 20, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 24, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 25, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 26, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 3, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 6, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 8, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.