Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 24, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab1166cbab8d40890c1e523d13e4fe4034bdc2a50ea7027eaf995e4fa4b6c509
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54bb…59c7backed Yes | 5c | 3,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 164 | 17.7%29 W · 135 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e42…0dfebacked Yes | 1c | 2,569$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 165 | 7.3%12 W · 153 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f56…2a4cbacked Yes | 27c | 2,035$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.58 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,236$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 2c | 1,148$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…b5cebacked No | 56c | 1,144$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.36 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…c419backed Yes | 7c | 1,051$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.06 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 1,004$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6962…745ebacked No | 67c | 828.87$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.87 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb593…28eabacked Yes | 44c | 694$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 6c | 655.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 20c | 619.14$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.56 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…2bffbacked Yes | 36c | 582$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 7c | 540$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f2…95debacked No | 56c | 485$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70e7…4a70backed Yes | 44c | 485$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 2c | 480.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2abd…74ebbacked No | 56c | 470$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x374b…9a1fbacked Yes | 44c | 458$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…e80fbacked No | 67c | 416.96$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.96 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 415.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Yes | 7c | 386.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes | 13c | 344.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 284 | 38.7%110 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6988…9f4ebacked Yes | 39c | 331.96$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a8…7efabacked No | 56c | 321$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.24 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8257…da02backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7b…7d59backed No | 70c | 285.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.63 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 5c | 261.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 199 | 5%10 W · 189 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4d…bf6fbacked No | 78c | 250$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…5066backed Yes | 5c | 225.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8392…e3a2backed Yes | 12c | 223.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 144 | 20.8%30 W · 114 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6809…f1c9backed No | 72c | 194.26$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c2…1be5backed Yes | 36c | 185$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…23bebacked Yes | 41c | 171.02$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62b1…a4c0backed Yes | 33c | 155$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93e2…92b9backed Yes | 7c | 153$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 39c | 145.96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 313 | 44.1%138 W · 175 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86dd…1af2backed Yes | 33c | 137.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 164 | 33.5%55 W · 109 L | -19.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ec…5968backed Yes | 20c | 135.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed No | 69c | 127.14$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4647…23aebacked Yes | 40c | 125.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…f2f3backed Yes | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…2fe9backed Yes | 43c | 117.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed Yes | 12c | 116.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 200 | 35.5%71 W · 129 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed No | 57c | 109.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d5…1caebacked No | 64c | 106$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +55%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 47c | 104.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -23.0wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7081…b068backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…0f2bbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe33a…d8f7backed Yes | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…4c39backed No | 59c | 98.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…00a9backed No | 70c | 96.31$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 62cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…671fbacked Yes | 16c | 88.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22b0…ef31backed No | 64c | 87.59$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 40c | 84.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked Yes | 19c | 83.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3074…bae5backed No | 60c | 83.07$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…a40cbacked No | 76c | 82.63$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccb3…2eadbacked Yes | 49c | 82.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44e2…b51abacked No | 62c | 80.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8231…22e4backed Yes | 40c | 79.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +11.7wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3c90…17fbbacked Yes | 44c | 76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc9…63b2backed No | 66c | 75.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cf…1e59backed No | 62c | 74.75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5c…8b52backed Yes | 17c | 72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8903…0dc2backed Yes | 32c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x462b…f246backed No | 66c | 69.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf75…3880backed Yes | 29c | 69.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 133 | 21.8%29 W · 104 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 41c | 65.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 342 | 34.8%119 W · 223 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 74c | 63.05$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 292 | 54.8%160 W · 132 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c93…6a5ebacked Yes | 21c | 61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12b…43a9backed No | 72c | 60.27$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa963…5da5backed No | 59c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ab…d883backed No | 60c | 59.25$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…0932backed No | 58c | 51.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…1828backed Yes | 33c | 51.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…18debacked Yes | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…5ed0backed No | 65c | 46.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e1…1d2ebacked Yes | 36c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed Yes | 35c | 45.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | +15.2wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +72%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb1…3fbebacked No | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 47cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0262…a9d2backed No | 53c | 42.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -36%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7e…5ed7backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed No | 66c | 39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 37c | 38.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd8…9b9dbacked No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…fb7dbacked Yes | 43c | 30.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e8…e631backed No | 69c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…7e1dbacked No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd268…5609backed No | 57c | 26.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed No | 72c | 26.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 139 | 18.7%26 W · 113 L | -13.9wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 40c | 26.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7dd…ff1bbacked No | 57c | 25.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed No | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…d336backed No | 71c | 22.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bd…463dbacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -11.4wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…7444backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 24, 2026?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 15, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 17, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 20, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 23, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 25, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 26, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 3, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 6, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 8, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.