Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17610855356d9193cf62fc26ceff1b62765be168ab7f417717858bc88c412b88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x25fd…e685backed Yes | 2c | 1,721$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 4c | 1,280$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.43 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c24…b10ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,227$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -58%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f56…2a4cbacked Yes | 30c | 1,050$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.47 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 935.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…462ebacked Yes | 13c | 891.74$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.28 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…0959backed Yes | 43c | 860$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed No | 59c | 858.15$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.44 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeab9…2ff1backed Yes | 44c | 790$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…a01fbacked Yes | 45c | 738$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.1 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7252…9e6dbacked No | 70c | 710.82$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.32 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcc…8ef0backed Yes | 49c | 693$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…3591backed No | 65c | 682.09$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.44 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6988…9f4ebacked No | 57c | 665.87$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.88 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2b…a065backed No | 57c | 576.23$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 5c | 563.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5243…a73cbacked No | 57c | 533$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.19 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 8c | 519.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 187 | 9.1%17 W · 170 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…a539backed No | 56c | 514$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.16 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…e7f9backed Yes | 2c | 511.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…9ae0backed No | 51c | 498$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.02 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cb…933ebacked No | 55c | 482$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.9 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…6015backed Yes | 51c | 467.7$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…9effbacked Yes | 62c | 466.61$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.81 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x409e…ad6ebacked Yes | 50c | 447.73$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1128…cfa5backed Yes | 12c | 428.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 19c | 426.5$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.07 | 68 | 25%17 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…0347backed Yes | 14c | 414.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…e0e9backed Yes | 75c | 401.39$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.55 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa6…e8b6backed Yes | 43c | 357.04$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8702…3c0ebacked Yes | 9c | 335.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7833…d56cbacked Yes | 33c | 331.97$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.11 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5d…4e58backed Yes | 42c | 323$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.66 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97ed…28e1backed No | 58c | 323$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.66 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…c419backed Yes | 38c | 318.72$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.06 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7215…7cb0backed Yes | 14c | 316.34$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…b750backed Yes | 43c | 303$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.29 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…920fbacked No | 57c | 299.97$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 23c | 292.08$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.17 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 68c | 278.89$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.87 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…f2f3backed No | 34c | 271.85$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.65 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 77c | 270.85$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a6…4748backed Yes | 44c | 270.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +232.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…0d60backed No | 55c | 268$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.6 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60a7…6d60backed Yes | 39c | 255.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…230abacked No | 60c | 255.04$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…27f9backed Yes | 16c | 252.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…b248backed Yes | 45c | 249.36$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.93 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…305bbacked No | 51c | 238$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.62 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…20f5backed No | 7c | 220$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.6 | 213 | 33.8%72 W · 141 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…fb20backed No | 58c | 212.09$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.29 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed No | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9078…26afbacked Yes | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 32c | 198.32$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.98 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…c5a4backed Yes | 43c | 197.27$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed Yes | 51c | 195.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x367a…d7c0backed Yes | 10c | 190.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdee0…b4a1backed Yes | 11c | 184.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf75…3880backed Yes | 42c | 184.6$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.53 | 133 | 21.8%29 W · 104 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…23bebacked Yes | 32c | 176.16$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…095ebacked No | 56c | 172$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.68 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f39…5420backed No | 61c | 159.01$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed Yes | 37c | 152.08$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.27 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 18c | 151.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb25f…a460backed Yes | 40c | 151.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ae…2b33backed No | 15c | 150$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…eedfbacked Yes | 35c | 143.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c93…6a5ebacked No | 69c | 135.83$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.06 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62b1…a4c0backed Yes | 31c | 135$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked No | 75c | 132.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…b8bbbacked No | 80c | 125.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54bb…59c7backed Yes | 37c | 124.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 164 | 17.7%29 W · 135 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed Yes | 52c | 111.89$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | +15.2wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +72%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9151backed No | 56c | 104$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1c…e455backed No | 78c | 101.12$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 50c | 100.48$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 292 | 54.8%160 W · 132 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa90a…da95backed No | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 35c | 99.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe33a…d8f7backed Yes | 33c | 93.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4647…23aebacked Yes | 47c | 91.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 24c | 91.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 317 | 28.7%91 W · 226 L | -35.7wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b8…5127backed No | 71c | 90.74$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…59f7backed Yes | 27c | 88.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f5…8f3cbacked Yes | 35c | 85.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad2…e9babacked Yes | 39c | 83.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 50c | 82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7081…b068backed No | 30c | 80$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc49…db74backed Yes | 33c | 78.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…0c32backed Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…5ed0backed No | 45c | 75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed No | 59c | 70.24$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aba…9ddfbacked No | 60c | 69.65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf049…8b3ebacked Yes | 30c | 66.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde4a…20cbbacked No | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…12e4backed No | 58c | 64.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd356…963dbacked Yes | 51c | 59.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +8.9wins | +0.30per pick | 40cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Yes | 38c | 55.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5352…e20ebacked No | 34c | 55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +43%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b37…8722backed No | 22c | 55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 15, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 17, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 20, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 23, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 24, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 25, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 26, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 3, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 6, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 8, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.