TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7635…9ae0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: AI, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category AI at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "DAN DA DAN Season 2" win Best Comedy Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$367.77
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$211.32
Will Armed Only with a Camera: The Life and Death of Brent Renaud win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.04
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$82.08
Will Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.6
Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$407.68
Will Erin Doherty win Best Actress in a Television Movie or Limited Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$221.76
Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 3.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+61.3%+$103.36
Will "F1" win Best Editing at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$147.92
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$72.54
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+61.3%+$28.12
Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+177.8%+$397.44
Will Nina Gold (Hamnet) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$82.11
Will Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$110.66
Will Josh Safdie be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$511.86
All 15 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+50%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$126.48
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$81.78
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.5
Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.04
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.32
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.67
Will "Ultra-wide" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+49.3%+$223.41
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+31.9%+$121.77
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+376.2%+$145.36
Will "Greenland" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+212.5%+$433.16
SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+38.9%+$163.52
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200.7
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+316.7%+$124.64
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$143.26
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$482.56
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$68.42
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$36.96
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$631Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$516.15
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$88.2
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$241.68
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.11
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+376.2%+$639.9
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$64.13
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$244.02
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$363.3
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick30cpaid-77.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$348.15
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.68
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.96
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$100.8
Will the Brooklyn Nets have the worst record in the NBA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.15
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$119
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.5
Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.42
Will the Dallas Mavericks make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.85
Will the San Antonio Spurs win more than 44.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$92.55
Will Justin Bieber attend the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$113.36
All 11 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+29.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.4
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$130.4
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$723Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$577.91
Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.64
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$56.1
Will there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$232.8
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$527Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$175.75
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$62.25
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+300%+$1,095.75
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+50.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid+44.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.84
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.42
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Acesbacked Southern Illinois Salukis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$656.04
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+233.3%+$144.9
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$108.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+170.3%+$516.6
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+669.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$485.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$552.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+284.6%+$257.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ARKO Petroleum Corp.'s market cap be between $950M and $1.0B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+49.3%+$91.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+49.3%+$97.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$58.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$59.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Comeback" be said at the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$83.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$385.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$121.59
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.