Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Clemson Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x589b443ea602f5c5738d1c197f24c8661ab5dff7c8c1b8609bfbd09ca789d53e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virginia Tech Hokiesof Virginia Tech Hokies, Clemson Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,705 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b72…cd8ebacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 32c | 1,967$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 31cpaid | +156.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf8…0657backed Clemson Tigers | 68c | 1,693$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6f…deaebacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 26c | 1,291$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +286.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ec…46cebacked Clemson Tigers | 24c | 998$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…293cbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 76c | 998$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…b0a5backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 32c | 904$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed Clemson Tigers | 68c | 904$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…3ceabacked Clemson Tigers | 79c | 855$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4744…e229backed Clemson Tigers | 79c | 744$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f5…8e1ebacked Clemson Tigers | 68c | 719$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…eb27backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 22c | 672$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e77…3273backed Clemson Tigers | 68c | 660$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ac…d8c5backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 21c | 636$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…9ae0backed Clemson Tigers | 68c | 588$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c2…aa71backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 32c | 584$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cb…933ebacked Clemson Tigers | 24c | 583$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…24efbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 76c | 583$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…a01fbacked Clemson Tigers | 78c | 573$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed Clemson Tigers | 79c | 553$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd71f…fe71backed Clemson Tigers | 68c | 553$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…5b18backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 32c | 538$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +149.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…9134backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 21c | 507$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43f6…bb1ebacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 21c | 348$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +157%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7233…f0eabacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 21c | 337$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.23 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +236.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed Clemson Tigers | 79c | 233$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…5339backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 21c | 231$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +129.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d22…da8bbacked Clemson Tigers | 79c | 212$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +140.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ab…434bbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 32c | 211$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +137.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6702…0051backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 32c | 193$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcac…f545backed Clemson Tigers | 79c | 180$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3087…f8fbbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 32c | 149$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +71%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8727…83d7backed Clemson Tigers | 79c | 101$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Clemson Tigers | 12c | 83.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a16…0c03backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 32c | 47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c1…f1f2backed Clemson Tigers | 68c | 47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.