TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6702…0051

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
118
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: AI, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category AI at 57 out of 100; worst Asian League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+93.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.4
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.4
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$1,223.78
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$429.75
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$341.4
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$113.3
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$258.72
Will SpaceX have exactly 14 launches in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$561Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$197.08
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+113.8%+$349.14
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.08
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$139.36
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$326.16
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$660.68
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$728Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$727.6
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$616Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$615.54
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+322.6%+$729.8
Will "Greenland" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+212.5%+$135.32
Will "Davos" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$113.02
Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+308.6%+$294.56
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$166.32
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$594Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$594
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+426.3%+$537.03
Will UpScrolled be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+244.8%+$65.32
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$291.96
All 24 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+30.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$17.69
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$674Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$201.25
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.25
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$382.36
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$689Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$309.38
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$492.8
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$593Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$592.71
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.98
Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$54.41
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$615Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$361.12
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$604.73
Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.86
US strikes Iraq by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+507%+$1,281.27
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+75.4%+$177.59
US strikes Yemen by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$86.68
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$394.94
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50.66
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+416.1%+$563.57
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$258.54
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$165
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$225.72
Will Trump's meeting with Netanyahu not air?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$532.8
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+177.8%+$303.36
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+61.3%+$115.52
All 24 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-50.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.64
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.05
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$443.08
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$220.8
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.5
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+128.3%+$601.9
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+35.1%+$20.28
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$92.16
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$109.48
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$452.45
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$259.15
Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$66.64
Will there be at least 650 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.52
All 13 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-36%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,077Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$679.21
Will "IRIS OUT" by Kenshi Yonezu (Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc) win Best Anime Song at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.24
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.05
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 7 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$68.45
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.7
Will "GOAT" Third Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+42.9%+$250.5
Will "F1" win Best Sound at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$553Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+31.6%+$174.48
Will Geeta Gandbhir - The Perfect Neighbor win Best Director of a Documentary Film at the 78th DGA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$288.15
Will Mike Sweeney - Conan O'Brien Must Go win Best Director of a Reality / Quiz & Game at the 78th DGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$136.85
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick35cpaid+3.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+80.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UNCW Seahawks vs. Charleston Cougarsbacked UNCW Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$71.76
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Lamar Cardinalsbacked East Texas A&M Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.27
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Virginia Tech Hokies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$131.24
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Appalachian State Mountaineersbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$20.24
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. North Carolina Central Eaglesbacked Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.72
All 5 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-39%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+439.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dundee United FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+809.1%+$209.15
Will Dundee United FC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$344.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+233.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$204.8
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+400%+$222.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.52
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$336.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+669.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$796.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+146.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$732Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+146.5%+$1,072.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houthis successfully target shipping by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,092Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$446.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+33.3%+$333
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atlético Madrid advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+28.2%+$88.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Movistar KOI qualify to MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA River Plate vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cam Spencer: Assists Over 8.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$90.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Touchback" be said at the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$350.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Patrik Antonius win at Hustler Casino on February 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$186.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.