Movies · resolved market
Will "F1" win Best Sound at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16db68cc3860a5509cf099617ff11b817587b0728504aafabec46821bce94c61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8697…4165backed No | 24c | 1,183$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.92 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6702…0051backed Yes | 76c | 727$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04da…dc10backed No | 23c | 719$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.37 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x926a…3b1ebacked Yes | 77c | 705$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.15 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…54a7backed No | 23c | 637$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.51 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b79…360fbacked Yes | 77c | 541$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.43 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…c83bbacked Yes | 77c | 453$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.19 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374b…9a1fbacked No | 23c | 433$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb86e…e0ecbacked Yes | 76c | 419$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 74c | 390.66$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.62 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd134…5558backed No | 17c | 353$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…f59bbacked No | 23c | 325$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6576…f0abbacked Yes | 77c | 305$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb289…9403backed No | 20c | 236.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.37 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89b2…0eb2backed No | 17c | 170$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 22c | 139.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xead6…911fbacked Yes | 77c | 57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed Yes | 68c | 50.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f91…d531backed Yes | 77c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…b2efbacked Yes | 76c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 37c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "F1" win Best Sound at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?this page
- Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" win Best Sound at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?No won
- Will "Bugonia" win Best Sound at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?No won
- Will "Frankenstein" win Best Sound at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?No won
- Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" win Best Sound at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?No won
- Will "The Lost Bus" win Best Sound at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?No won
- Will "Warfare" win Best Sound at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.