TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2b79…360f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Movies, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 58 out of 100; worst AI at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+42.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Movies — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will All the Empty Rooms win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.56
Will "Sinners" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$93.15
Will Sentimental Value win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.95
Will Catherine O'Hara win Best Actress in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$85.54
Will "Hamnet" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+31.6%+$78.72
Will "F1" win Best Sound at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+29.9%+$124.43
Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary at the 41st Film Independent Spirit Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$103.92
Will Jesse Plemons be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+44.9%+$93.93
Will Cutting Through Rocks be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+354.5%+$336.96
Will Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$531Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+120.7%+$640.41
Will Wunmi Mosaku be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+25%+$32.2
Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+89.7%+$73.29
Will Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+51.5%+$168.3
Will "Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+28.2%+$128.26
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.19per pick40cpaid+59.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.66
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.72
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$61.12
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$26.84
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.12
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$190.32
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$71.82
Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$226.8
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$276.42
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.14
Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.05
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$168.45
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-24.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.3
Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.69
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.8
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$120.13
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$597.8
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$21.73
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+122.2%+$42.9
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+177.8%+$314.88
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+56.3%+$272.16
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$121
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.56
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-39.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$143.64
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.51
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$609Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$608.6
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.5
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.88
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$58.11
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.32
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$421.8
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.65
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+270.4%+$891.33
Will diVine launch iOS app by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-60.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick23cpaid+338.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+225.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bodø/Glimt advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+423.6%+$454.66
Will Atlético Madrid advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+28.2%+$128.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ETHGAS launch a token by September 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+29.9%+$38.18
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$232.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Kafka be fired by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$265.5
Will Myles Garrett break the NFL sack record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.55
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$33.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$184.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$259.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be between 100k and 125k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+72.4%+$55.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$67.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Viking FK win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$438
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: sleepers vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffsbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$308.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.