CS2 · resolved market
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e28265ac26f42efc6032878868316daaf0f5be9403f01069b328c846579603c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $222,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $213,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $222,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,319$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e6…4bfebacked Yes | 4c | 2,391$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbc…96a6backed Yes | 5c | 1,894$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…f5bebacked No | 51c | 1,808$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa906…84e4backed No | 56c | 1,795$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc886…696fbacked Yes | 52c | 1,756$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…a617backed No | 42c | 1,670$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb25c…6d89backed No | 51c | 1,648$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…a0c9backed Yes | 52c | 1,547$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1063…1d3fbacked Yes | 39c | 1,512$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,471$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc123…115cbacked Yes | 54c | 1,343$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…d7aabacked Yes | 48c | 1,331$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3f…205cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,320$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…6622backed Yes | 48c | 1,285$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd8…757abacked No | 42c | 1,284$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…c285backed Yes | 59c | 1,278$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 2c | 1,272$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…cacebacked Yes | 58c | 1,269$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…a498backed Yes | 58c | 1,268$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…6487backed No | 42c | 1,266$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed No | 42c | 1,264$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked No | 56c | 1,261$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…ee5abacked No | 40c | 1,234$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +149.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b1…0005backed No | 28c | 1,170$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5214…95c9backed No | 42c | 1,153$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…09a9backed Yes | 31c | 1,130$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7176…6f9fbacked No | 41c | 1,128$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea7…2550backed Yes | 31c | 1,105$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e35…384fbacked Yes | 58c | 1,101$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaf…f63cbacked No | 54c | 1,073$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f98ebacked Yes | 58c | 1,069$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90e2…7babbacked No | 42c | 1,052$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…f745backed Yes | 31c | 1,047$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1832…af9ebacked Yes | 58c | 1,033$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b92…f4c6backed No | 55c | 1,024$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd11f…2d2cbacked No | 40c | 1,016$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…bb33backed No | 45c | 1,011$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…9bc5backed No | 56c | 1,005$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…9964backed Yes | 58c | 983$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ce…3c8ebacked Yes | 60c | 971$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9e…bd49backed Yes | 58c | 970$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…929dbacked No | 54c | 963$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…a01fbacked Yes | 31c | 960$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x290d…9e42backed No | 69c | 960$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked No | 59c | 947$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4984…69d2backed Yes | 58c | 944$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d4…be7cbacked No | 59c | 943$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ceb…7fc8backed No | 42c | 930$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6034…b5fdbacked Yes | 58c | 890$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed Yes | 58c | 868$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c2…ca53backed No | 69c | 867$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…a539backed Yes | 44c | 864$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc802…3570backed Yes | 3c | 863.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…f02bbacked Yes | 32c | 858$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…ea40backed Yes | 32c | 855$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ec…4477backed No | 69c | 852$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0d…1683backed Yes | 60c | 811$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked Yes | 58c | 803$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…88f0backed No | 51c | 802$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…4441backed No | 41c | 798$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +141.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fae…6853backed Yes | 32c | 784$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd719…d8e5backed Yes | 58c | 782$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…0b1ebacked Yes | 36c | 779$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2b…fd2cbacked Yes | 31c | 753$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ba…b311backed Yes | 31c | 743$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa18…7693backed Yes | 36c | 737$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe918…d166backed Yes | 47c | 735$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a7a9backed Yes | 58c | 731$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7775…6cb4backed No | 69c | 729$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…9a60backed Yes | 58c | 727$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…7c01backed Yes | 58c | 725$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c07…956bbacked No | 42c | 720$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…2bffbacked Yes | 43c | 708$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x246f…0ab2backed Yes | 55c | 708$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 3c | 702.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfd…946bbacked No | 42c | 693$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed No | 69c | 692$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a88…513ebacked No | 42c | 687$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85b…77dbbacked Yes | 32c | 681$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…095ebacked Yes | 59c | 679$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…6943backed Yes | 58c | 678$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdde…5224backed Yes | 3c | 673.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6499…05d2backed Yes | 59c | 669$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e96…c895backed No | 41c | 665$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…cb02backed No | 42c | 664$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…ac22backed Yes | 59c | 661$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09be…76d5backed Yes | 31c | 661$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 3c | 653.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 641.68$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a6f0backed No | 42c | 641$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked No | 39c | 640.85$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.95 | 184 | 43.5%80 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a8…1f07backed Yes | 58c | 638$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ad…990ebacked Yes | 45c | 633$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…09aabacked Yes | 31c | 633$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…31a9backed No | 68c | 617$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e5…d252backed No | 69c | 617$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed Yes | 58c | 606$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d86…ea87backed Yes | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…7a33backed Yes | 31c | 599$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?this page
- Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by February 28, 2026?No won
- Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.