CS2 · resolved market
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef4ab08541214903ca6eca617416a5fe1867bc3d7008c571f39001b1f62ae58f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $505,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $454,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $505,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 357 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd109…6fa0backed No | 67c | 52,546$35,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,320.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…1aeabacked Yes | 12c | 22,392$2,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,583.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf81…6e25backed Yes | 2c | 14,251$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 37cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa2…d4dfbacked Yes | 38c | 10,921$4,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,153.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d0…a970backed Yes | 9c | 10,099$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.26 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes | 58c | 9,947$5,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,791.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Yes | 70c | 7,904$5,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,530.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…ec07backed Yes | 14c | 7,331$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.15 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd5…094cbacked No | 28c | 7,276$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,225.17 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Yes | 51c | 6,663$3,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,417.61 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…cd1abacked Yes | 2c | 6,585$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 5,666$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.31 | 70 | 0%0 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b9…5221backed No | 45c | 5,440$2,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,979.37 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2e…a279backed Yes | 79c | 5,208$4,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,089.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed Yes | 35c | 5,037$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755.11 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Yes | 7c | 5,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 230 | 43.9%101 W · 129 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d15…c454backed No | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadad…cc57backed Yes | 4c | 4,969$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772d…45bbbacked Yes | 0c | 4,709$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…e3a0backed Yes | 9c | 4,694$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 36c | 3,872$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.02 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Yes | 4c | 3,796$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.17 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Yes | 49c | 3,662$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.42 | 323 | 46.1%149 W · 174 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d64…b4c0backed No | 30c | 3,491$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,438.38 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23f4…c234backed Yes | 58c | 3,096$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac0…2c8bbacked Yes | 59c | 3,095$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes | 55c | 3,073$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.2 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0286…eb6cbacked Yes | 50c | 2,957$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 58c | 2,954$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.87 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7284…9e27backed No | 20c | 2,945$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,367.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +410.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23f2…8010backed No | 45c | 2,718$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 2c | 2,709$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.56 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 61c | 2,612$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0961…8234backed No | 35c | 2,277$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…b294backed Yes | 13c | 2,276$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…5ce3backed No | 46c | 2,241$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…6323backed No | 49c | 2,224$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8d…8922backed Yes | 5c | 2,082$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 7c | 2,039$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.29 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab21…4b87backed Yes | 25c | 2,026$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…9fd9backed Yes | 5c | 2,008$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.13 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 5c | 2,001$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Yes | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Yes | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb4…2b73backed No | 25c | 1,974$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.01 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed Yes | 51c | 1,875$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.25 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…e7d3backed Yes | 43c | 1,865$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa262…997fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,818$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Yes | 51c | 1,810$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b476backed Yes | 60c | 1,789$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.47 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fed…f6a5backed Yes | 34c | 1,789$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab3…a9c2backed Yes | 57c | 1,714$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea7…2550backed Yes | 28c | 1,702$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997f…b3c2backed Yes | 25c | 1,693$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe289…c31abacked Yes | 36c | 1,687$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e08…7e2ebacked No | 75c | 1,611$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b82…1712backed No | 72c | 1,509$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511e…cfadbacked Yes | 32c | 1,501$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,481$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 232 | 34.9%81 W · 151 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e8…193fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,367$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25e9…a0a5backed No | 51c | 1,367$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0840…9746backed Yes | 1c | 1,349$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 32c | 1,322$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.68 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed No | 48c | 1,299$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…81a5backed No | 75c | 1,208$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…336cbacked Yes | 59c | 1,201$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 8c | 1,200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.21 | 75 | 9.3%7 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…4bffbacked No | 72c | 1,185$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 72c | 1,181$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.82 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x119a…2192backed No | 25c | 1,159$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…4eedbacked Yes | 7c | 1,124$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a55…1d25backed Yes | 55c | 1,117$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.83 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 20c | 1,064$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.55 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Yes | 47c | 1,039$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…2501backed Yes | 38c | 1,010$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe590…87bfbacked Yes | 41c | 1,009$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26e…d23fbacked Yes | 39c | 1,007$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked No | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09fd…60f7backed Yes | 1c | 996.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 83 | 22.9%19 W · 64 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd907…f15fbacked Yes | 16c | 979$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 23c | 963.19$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.92 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60e…d332backed Yes | 51c | 937.67$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…a237backed Yes | 16c | 898$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked Yes | 17c | 897$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x601a…f78bbacked Yes | 44c | 893.47$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9f…578abacked No | 11c | 893$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.84 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…001dbacked Yes | 28c | 889$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9978…a49ebacked Yes | 26c | 882.12$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.21 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 8c | 881.62$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.98 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…ddd6backed Yes | 17c | 870$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x184f…a48fbacked Yes | 19c | 867$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…ac22backed Yes | 17c | 855$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 20cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes | 3c | 851$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc926…4c22backed Yes | 6c | 827.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc7…2259backed Yes | 30c | 795$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.3 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…32d3backed No | 50c | 782.72$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae9…20acbacked Yes | 50c | 780$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…169bbacked Yes | 4c | 760$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755e…7b04backed No | 59c | 746$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…f215backed No | 59c | 739$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?this page
- Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by February 28, 2026?No won
- Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.