TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x95cc…f215

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Weather, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 60 out of 100; worst AI at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.78
Will I Lied to You - Sinners win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.91
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$667Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$667.28
Will "Marty Supreme" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$80.6
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.39
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$368.65
Will "Hamnet" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$42.84
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 59m and 65m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+44.9%+$209.25
Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+37%+$129.06
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$70.85
Will Michael B. Jordan be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$113.2
Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+42.9%+$102
Will Nina Gold (Hamnet) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$553Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+29.9%+$165.14
Will Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$66.22
Will "His & Hers" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+75.4%+$47.3
Will Sean Penn (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$13.44
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$206
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.06
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$376.81
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$122.1
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$698Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25%+$174.6
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25.2
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+400%+$1,421.6
Will Trump say "Think about" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$38.22
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$58.52
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.11
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+222.6%+$77.97
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$229.95
All 12 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick53cpaid+71.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Weather — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$60.96
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$98.28
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+156.4%+$253.15
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+122.2%+$245.3
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+30.7%+$70.27
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$399.84
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+61.8%+$156.62
Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$176.28
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$668Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+75.8%+$506.72
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$53.32
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+300%+$542.25
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$108.64
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$147.51
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$367.88
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.76
Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.17
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.24
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.38
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$56.88
Will Threads be the #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+31.6%+$70.8
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.17
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$65.26
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$420.64
Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$682Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$367.15
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.4
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.95
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$318.44
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$653Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$653.26
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.9
Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.08
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.94
Will LaMelo Ball be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$75.79
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick54cpaid+58.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$302.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$127.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tyron Woodley win his boxing match against Anderson Silva?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+47.1%+$119.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+33.3%+$164.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+31.6%+$78.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Safaniya Field by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$136.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Biden" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$227
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the announcers say "Nasty" during Holloway vs. Oliveira 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers: O/U 158.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$186
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NEC win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$118.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Partizan vs. BC Dubaibacked BC Dubai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$695Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$694.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.