TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers: O/U 158.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$198,758
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$202,901

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,758 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2537…bff9backed Over51c62,202$31,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,464.4644452.7%234 W · 210 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Under50c42,000$21,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,00012754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over50c41,405$20,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,702.5269142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed Under51c33,454$17,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,392.5213453%71 W · 63 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe248…f293backed Under49c22,500$11,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,37578155.6%434 W · 347 L+38.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under49c16,653$8,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,418.7923248.3%112 W · 120 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Under50c8,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,00041752.5%219 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under49c7,247$3,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,662.317643.8%77 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5501,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Over51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04035452.3%185 W · 169 L+17.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Over52c2,771$1,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,427.9916954.4%92 W · 77 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Over51c2,747$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,398.1112054.2%65 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under51c2,613$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.9874152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.8215447.4%73 W · 81 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40a5…f0a8backed Under49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.822055%11 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under50c2,005$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.1935147.6%167 W · 184 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02028539.6%113 W · 172 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Under44c1,793$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.4219445.9%89 W · 105 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e29backed Under9c1,125$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.6928354.1%153 W · 130 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under48c1,099$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.2489850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23b9…6447backed Under39c1,068$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.363100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+96.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under48c1,048$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.9342246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Over51c1,020$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.4118548.6%90 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Under51c999.99$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.0315947.2%75 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99ab…edc1backed Under50c998$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+106.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1cb…933ebacked Under49c994$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.93520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-59.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6034…b5fdbacked Over50c974$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b23…0d60backed Over38c938$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.38540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-42.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ecb…b5e3backed Over51c931$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.7420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd161…bcf0backed Under51c879$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+87.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bd6…019dbacked Over50c840$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7534…d51bbacked Over51c785$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.92633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+72.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under48c724$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.522,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e77…3273backed Under49c723$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91be…2641backed Under74c700$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under49c675.02$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.2669350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Under48c675$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34832146.7%150 W · 171 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ae…44adbacked Over51c670$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+100%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Under51c665.39$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.3815556.1%87 W · 68 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+32.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5e79…e974backed Over26c650$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.6540%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x05f2…95debacked Under62c632$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.79450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcac…f545backed Over50c628$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.63425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0cb…ab6abacked Under74c626$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x159f…333fbacked Under49c624$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4559…f02bbacked Over51c617$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.29250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaec9…3213backed Over26c605$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-49.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under48c599.97$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.991,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf614…c345backed Over51c577$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0184…23f6backed Over51c565$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+58.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8e…9be8backed Under50c556$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8ae…bb88backed Under49c536$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.9540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ec…62aabacked Over50c525$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd22a…ac22backed Under49c517$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+84.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Over53c510.29$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.4525946.3%120 W · 139 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce65…66fdbacked Over49c501$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-30.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe72c…bbf0backed Over51c499$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-49.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadbd…93f9backed Over61c484$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.27560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+102.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7321…1812backed Under49c466$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.59450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+75%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb9f…ee38backed Over60c421$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.08333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+50.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c12…d725backed Under50c418$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.161,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc450…a5b8backed Over51c405$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x968f…a539backed Under49c405$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+32.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2f5…8e1ebacked Under36c398$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87fd…66bcbacked Under49c394$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+249.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1787…44a9backed Over51c394$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…f8a1backed Over51c385$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca67…703cbacked Under49c385$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+154%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x036f…31a9backed Over51c384$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.22520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-73.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9859…0176backed Under62c384$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa8d…fc01backed Under49c384$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.222100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+386.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x98cb…a127backed Under49c380$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3087…f8fbbacked Under50c371$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+71%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e3e…6b65backed Over61c369$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e35…384fbacked Under49c367$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95cc…f215backed Over51c364$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2950…ffeabacked Under49c364$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+210.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over49c357$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.296538.5%25 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54d5…b5cebacked Under49c348$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ff7…a220backed Over51c348$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f7d…a315backed Under49c333$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under49c328.24$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.0425544.3%113 W · 142 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x805a…735dbacked Over49c327$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf100…2fcabacked Under50c323$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab07…7763backed Under50c316$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca87…3701backed Over50c316$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Under49c281.25$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.1941354%223 W · 190 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb593…28eabacked Over31c276$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f85…e5a3backed Over51c271$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Under48c264.85$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.7258345.5%265 W · 318 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb1…6de8backed Under50c255$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c2e…e025backed Over50c253$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42b…7577backed Under49c236$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.83450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under48c228$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.771,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e57…6c04backed Under73c228$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec92…1214backed Over50c220$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.22666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+101.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Under49c214.29$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.299551.6%49 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Under48c208.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3219555.4%108 W · 87 L+14.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under47c196.58$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.411560%69 W · 46 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Under49c173.47$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4721443.9%94 W · 120 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.