TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3e35…384f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
127
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Movies, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2853.6%15 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+23.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Movies — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.16
Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.7
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.01
Will "Marty Supreme" win no awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$54.27
Will Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.68
Will Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$70.5
Will John Stirling die in Bridgerton: Season 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$42.6
Will "GOAT" Third Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$214.76
Will Benicio del Toro win Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+33.3%+$149.75
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+156.4%+$75.03
Will "The Night Agent: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$122.04
Will "The Night Agent: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$46.07
Will Jesse Armstrong - Mountainhead win Best Director of a Movie for Television at the 78th DGA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$145.12
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+28.2%+$25.74
Will Paul Mescal win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$45.37
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+108.3%+$170.56
Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$208.22
Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+177.9%+$96.02
Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+31.6%+$21.36
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+203%+$97.82
Will Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$153
Will In Your Dreams be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$571Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+38.9%+$222.04
Will It Was Just an Accident be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+238.5%+$149.38
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+170.3%+$43.47
Will Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$103.68
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$147.7
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$11.09
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.26
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$408.72
Will SpaceX have exactly 14 launches in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.14
Will Craig Federighi be the next CEO of Apple?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.56
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$267.67
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.45 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$408.8
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+78.6%+$275.88
Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$280.75
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be the #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$132.84
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Nothing Ever Happens: AI Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$158.4
Will diVine launch iOS app by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+284.6%+$71.78
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$50.26
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$52.05
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$30.58
Will: Canelo Alvarez be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+29.9%+$35.19
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-61.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.24
Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.27
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$533.4
Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.22
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.76
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$25.41
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$197.55
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.71
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.52
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$68
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.61
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.93
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.84
Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+29.9%+$93.61
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$34.32
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.86
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.43
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+691.6%+$1,913.36
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$128.52
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+104.1%+$223.89
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+92.3%+$63.36
Israel strike on Yemen by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.95
Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.08
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.3
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+37%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$138.6
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+700%+$434.88
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+62.3%+$22.27
Will GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$94.55
Will JA21 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$109.12
Will Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$180.17
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$69.02
Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 2% and 3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$12.24
Will Franco Parisi endorse José Antonio Kast for President of Chile?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$214.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-48.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick30cpaid+296.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$165.55
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+40.8%+$31.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$107.5
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: sleepers vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerbacked sleepers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+733.3%+$1,198.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+247.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+247.2%+$66.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers: O/U 158.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+104.9%+$187.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+100%+$422
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$33.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
5kt meteor strike in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Texas make the College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$17.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$154.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$128.91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.