Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a47fb36ab4d4f6414d8a8d23d3d1441eb910b02bbf419e9cc99a1478f5045a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8d5…1caebacked Yes | 12c | 1,241$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d5…2e11backed Yes | 15c | 943$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…9134backed Yes | 14c | 727$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…09adbacked Yes | 15c | 716$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…cae1backed Yes | 13c | 517$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…be1dbacked Yes | 11c | 488$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…9ed1backed Yes | 15c | 470$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…a2e9backed Yes | 13c | 444$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…d837backed Yes | 12c | 438$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe590…87bfbacked Yes | 12c | 384$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e35…384fbacked Yes | 11c | 375$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef37…f2bcbacked Yes | 15c | 372$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +145.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba3d…cdfabacked Yes | 15c | 351$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc70…50c0backed Yes | 15c | 296$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 34cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05b…8df1backed Yes | 15c | 292$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbe…04b4backed Yes | 13c | 279$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f2…2badbacked Yes | 13c | 241$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 32c | 156.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5661…ef17backed Yes | 12c | 120$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1502…be53backed Yes | 13c | 111$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…a01fbacked Yes | 15c | 103$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?No won
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.