TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x66f2…2bad

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: AI, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category AI at 57 out of 100; worst Weather at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$679Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$678.93
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.99
Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.46
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,309Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$534.76
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$613Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$250.27
Will the number of Israel Rocket Alerts since Operation Lion's Roar be at least 22,000 by March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$592Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$157.29
Will the number of Israel Rocket Alerts since Operation Lion's Roar be at least 20,000 by March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$192.5
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+212.5%+$153
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$269.8
Will Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$172.53
Iran Strike on Israel by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$24.5
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+92.3%+$169.44
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+118.5%+$15.73
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$928Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$927.96
All 14 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick39cpaid+87.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.00 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.08
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.04
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$201.5
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$101.66
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$298.2
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$200.64
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.50 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$82.04
Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+488.2%+$438.24
Will "Tesla" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$117.48
Will "Zelenskyy" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$41.69
Will "Elon" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+66.4%+$39.1
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$23.24
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-48%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-76.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-67.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+89.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+120.7%+$1,385.46
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+58.7%+$99.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+163.2%+$270.32
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$143.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Brown be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$341.1
Will LA CANCIÓN be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$157.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+614.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$803.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jerry Heil win Vidbir 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+177.8%+$273.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$80.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin outperform NVIDIA (NVDA) in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$111.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South Africa win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$490.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.