TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will South Africa win on 2026-03-31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,236
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,066

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,236 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x332c…ae23backed Yes14c2,211$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.454748.9%23 W · 24 L+6.4wins+0.14per pick35cpaid+108.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No57c1,987$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.2436850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes48c1,809$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86823949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x367b…48dabacked No51c1,422$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0278…00e6backed Yes49c1,382$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x128e…001dbacked Yes49c1,337$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No65c1,323$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45937144.5%165 W · 206 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5383…88f0backed Yes49c1,057$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x381c…dae1backed Yes49c1,053$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabeb…7a78backed No51c1,021$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66f2…2badbacked Yes49c1,002$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No56c1,000$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.9622041.4%91 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4e…5104backed Yes54c949.99$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.093644.4%16 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcabd…3764backed No51c941$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f46…01b1backed No51c905$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba6f…8cc1backed No51c873$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes46c866$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.627924.1%19 W · 60 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8401…a498backed Yes49c850$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa16a…33a1backed Yes21c839.42$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.88944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick27cpaid+85.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f50…fc3fbacked Yes44c729.62$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.273132.3%10 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb73e…975ebacked No51c651$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16e6…dc3dbacked Yes48c628.11$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.772,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No52c475.73$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.3576048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a10…fbe0backed No51c466$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No46c421.5$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5846536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes45c411.82$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.1917338.2%66 W · 107 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91be…2641backed No51c402$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes50c392.08$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.7688838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Yes41c384$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0610234.3%35 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Yes49c375.43$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.961643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No52c327.08$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15735942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfedc…61d1backed No55c316.89$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.129855.1%54 W · 44 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No75c280.81$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2315747.8%75 W · 82 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe194…1cecbacked No50c277.1$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.28666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+92.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked No53c230.37$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.55850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+29.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb616…b9a1backed Yes47c204.93$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.031910.5%2 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick27cpaid-75.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Yes49c204.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005843.1%25 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No52c202.94$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.31,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No53c196.28$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.441,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No77c186.28$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3743835.8%157 W · 281 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d70…d647backed Yes46c183$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No51c164.74$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7255045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21db…2ed3backed Yes46c161$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.06425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14ec…0923backed Yes47c158.82$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-52.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No57c150.21$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6618452.7%97 W · 87 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.546525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6db6…43b2backed No46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.61450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a34…5f4cbacked Yes46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No51c145.9$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4945947.7%219 W · 240 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d6d…6b36backed Yes19c144.41$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.495352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2696…5652backed Yes45c138$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71cc…9144backed Yes47c136.88$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6523544.7%105 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No67c133$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3716755.1%92 W · 75 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed No46c131$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.744641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1757…ac33backed Yes45c127$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed No48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No55c119.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.710863.9%69 W · 39 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Yes44c114.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508237.8%31 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e0…72a6backed Yes44c113.07$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506621.2%14 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No42c106.83$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.722650.9%115 W · 111 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No59c105.27$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.784235.7%15 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No74c103.48$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8351250.4%258 W · 254 L+31.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd549…296dbacked No54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.59837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick32cpaid-31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No53c92.34$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.41,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No66c89.83$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.332,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No56c89.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.518347%39 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No57c85.41$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.747748.1%37 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x993f…35cbbacked No56c79.62$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6810954.1%59 W · 50 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddbc…6965backed Yes46c70$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.52630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b93…1290backed No55c69.05$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.07966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60a5…f52ebacked Yes45c66.09$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017738.4%68 W · 109 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017835.4%63 W · 115 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ff4…4ccfbacked No55c63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ec9…02f6backed No54c62.96$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.961758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27d9…c0f1backed No55c61$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.45475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf767…3c49backed No55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66c6…5ae8backed No54c57$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.223100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+61%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3dc…29b6backed No55c55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9bf…684dbacked Yes30c54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.04540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+96%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes46c52.75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2710254.9%56 W · 46 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c60…ba30backed Yes46c52.72$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.341145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Yes44c52.25$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9932855.8%183 W · 145 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes51c51.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.311,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a85…7267backed No54c51$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.46450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No52c50.51$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2543653.7%234 W · 202 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2833555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x605f…425abacked Yes45c48.2$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.92955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+45.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked No53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed No53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.17450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb946…a27cbacked No55c47$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes39c45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5515945.3%72 W · 87 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f36…5d0abacked Yes45c44.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d22…5267backed Yes46c44.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.471442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked Yes46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe35b…a9d4backed No54c42$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad46…7bc9backed Yes49c40.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.28per pick51cpaid-50.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed No58c39.97$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7920050%100 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x058f…68b6backed Yes53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed No56c35.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.454761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.