Fifa International · resolved market
Will South Africa vs. Panama end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9e684839740b55c0a8eea7ddeb9204d857b2393e506ab870c3914215ac1d1ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 22c | 2,592$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.42 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 71c | 1,264$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.37 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 53c | 1,020$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 76c | 1,019$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.08 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…fc3fbacked Yes | 29c | 729.8$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.23 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 59c | 494.08$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.7 | 157 | 47.8%75 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 29c | 459.94$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.61 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 382.7$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.7 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 71c | 299.99$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 47c | 292$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.24 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 68c | 287.93$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.16 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed No | 22c | 237.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.81 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x332c…ae23backed No | 31c | 204$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.44 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 54c | 198.27$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.15 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 77c | 166.85$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 24c | 158.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 245 | 37.1%91 W · 154 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6d…6b36backed Yes | 49c | 147.6$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.99 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f8…d87fbacked Yes | 50c | 125.23$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfedc…61d1backed No | 72c | 116.19$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 52c | 101.82$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 100.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae3…ccc9backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 28c | 96.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 72c | 96$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 50c | 96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 77c | 87.43$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…a117backed Yes | 30c | 63.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 42c | 59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 44c | 55.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0091…4198backed No | 60c | 51.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c60…ba30backed Yes | 26c | 49.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa16a…33a1backed No | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 60c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 62c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 72c | 25.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 54c | 21.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7573…3fc2backed No | 72c | 17.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc491…13f8backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 74cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will South Africa vs. Panama end in a draw?this page
- Will Panama win on 2026-03-31?Yes won
- Will South Africa win on 2026-03-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.