Fifa International · resolved market
Will Panama win on 2026-03-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2feaeb1405acc15d11450eac738d44517ec55acb1495b59397e965f935c5ad21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 8c | 1,276$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.46 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332c…ae23backed Yes | 8c | 740.78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.04 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…fc3fbacked Yes | 25c | 730.47$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.27 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 76c | 513.98$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.3 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed No | 18c | 488.51$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8268…8534backed Yes | 22c | 455.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.87 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa16a…33a1backed Yes | 9c | 446.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 30c | 390$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.57 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 348.37$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.61 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 35c | 344$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.08 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 11c | 331.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.06 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 315.65$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.48 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6d…6b36backed Yes | 69c | 253.24$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.48 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 77c | 217.38$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.02 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4c…bc84backed No | 58c | 196$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.68 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x826a…b27cbacked Yes | 26c | 190.54$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.54 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…2a8cbacked Yes | 75c | 152$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 26c | 146.09$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.73 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 72c | 134.57$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.79 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfedc…61d1backed No | 72c | 116.64$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.87 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…8f90backed Yes | 22c | 87.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 87.8$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 36c | 85.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.01 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Yes | 30c | 82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7817…c596backed No | 75c | 79.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 22c | 78.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 157 | 47.8%75 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…b5f2backed Yes | 26c | 77.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 76c | 70.72$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 25c | 68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…6d04backed Yes | 75c | 67.93$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 28c | 67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 26c | 66.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 66.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 65c | 61.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 26c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 26c | 59.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 78c | 56.68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 34c | 55.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 62c | 52.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b15…d362backed Yes | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 73c | 40.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 75c | 40.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf962…5cb1backed Yes | 40c | 40.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 64c | 38.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c60…ba30backed Yes | 34c | 37.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Yes | 76c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 37c | 34.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 44c | 32.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 190 | 64.2%122 W · 68 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f59…21cbbacked No | 42c | 32.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…c629backed Yes | 68c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 50c | 24.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032b…603dbacked Yes | 49c | 21.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…1edfbacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c8…e944backed No | 67c | 19.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 77c | 17.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4c…a32ebacked Yes | 63c | 15.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Panama win on 2026-03-31?this page
- Will South Africa vs. Panama end in a draw?No won
- Will South Africa win on 2026-03-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.