TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9d6d…6b36

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT5352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.47
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$59
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$107.64
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$20.72
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.79
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$62.02
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$113.73
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33.49
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$62.77
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$20.4
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Belgium win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Brazil vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Panama win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$77.48
Will South Africa win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.49
Will South Africa vs. Panama end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.99
Will Czechia vs. Denmark end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$33.04
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+85.6%+$17.13
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.28
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.01
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$25.6
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.84
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.33
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$15.91
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.48
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.6
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.99
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.1
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$40.67
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+64%+$76.93
Will Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.07
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$32.83
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.6
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+112.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+34.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levante UD vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.53
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: MOUZ vs 1win (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.