Serie A · resolved market
Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78005652e9a93b26a9259aac249f54c7f70040684d0353a7c238d7af464954a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $200,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $197,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 26c | 47,281$12,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,360.2 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 74c | 20,405$15,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.11 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 61c | 18,817$11,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,371.42 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 14,387$10,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,712.57 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 30c | 14,369$4,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,295 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…f402backed Yes | 34c | 14,072$4,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,802.38 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 21c | 11,877$2,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.13 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2adc…7e50backed Yes | 39c | 10,349$4,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,036.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 8,320$6,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,272.97 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 60c | 8,271$4,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,277.62 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 7,974$5,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.25 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 61c | 7,813$4,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,046.99 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 7,403$5,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 39c | 6,176$2,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,408.5 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 61c | 5,860$3,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,285.24 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +9.6wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 5,626$4,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.9 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 40c | 4,480$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.73 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 61c | 3,450$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.66 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 61c | 3,418$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.06 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 61c | 2,851$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.04 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.94 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…c505backed Yes | 39c | 1,747$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 39c | 1,505$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.95 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 67c | 1,463$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.79 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 61c | 1,420$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.19 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 40c | 1,060$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.16 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 40c | 1,048$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.75 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…f645backed Yes | 39c | 988.1$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.36 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 61c | 976.6$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.87 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 61c | 976.6$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.87 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +11.2wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 61c | 976.6$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.87 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 40c | 964$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.6 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed Yes | 40c | 843.5$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.4 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…6427backed Yes | 22c | 822.78$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 61c | 781.28$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.7 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 61c | 781.28$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.7 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +10.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 61c | 654.79$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.37 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…9d0bbacked No | 60c | 625$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +167.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Yes | 33c | 610.47$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.19 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90fc…064fbacked Yes | 39c | 588.64$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.57 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4791…07f8backed Yes | 37c | 567.92$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.77 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd49…03b8backed Yes | 17c | 558.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.02 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 28c | 530$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Yes | 39c | 494.05$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.68 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 34c | 480.2$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.27 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 61c | 462.13$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.22 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd096…2f6fbacked Yes | 21c | 453.62$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.26 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Yes | 41c | 439.86$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.4 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 75c | 426.98$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.89 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 14c | 423$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 422.57$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.14 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20dc…f74cbacked Yes | 36c | 404.85$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.21 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…4b25backed Yes | 40c | 398.69$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.47 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe8…3684backed Yes | 39c | 385.24$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df0…0bcfbacked Yes | 33c | 385.08$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb5…ec99backed Yes | 32c | 369.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 26c | 367.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 61c | 365.19$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.42 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +8.3wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 66c | 362.75$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.33 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 40c | 361.5$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.6 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 346.73$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.94 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 62c | 315.23$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.79 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…7395backed Yes | 40c | 310.82$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 40c | 298.47$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.39 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 61c | 292.98$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.26 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 37c | 288.66$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.8 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 35c | 288.3$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.91 | 129 | 20.2%26 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x353c…01d9backed No | 61c | 288.18$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.39 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Yes | 21c | 288.09$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.06 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 33c | 287.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.15 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced4…5055backed Yes | 19c | 285.42$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.23 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 36c | 285$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.8 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 16c | 284.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 75c | 270.47$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…a2cebacked Yes | 38c | 264.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.69 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa53f…8c53backed Yes | 19c | 250.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 78c | 250.01$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Yes | 20c | 246.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 73c | 243.23$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.18 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 79c | 238.95$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed No | 63c | 233.48$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.83 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +6.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x53fa…83f9backed No | 78c | 227.77$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked No | 65c | 219.43$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.31 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 33c | 219.06$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.98 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 22c | 216.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 61c | 205.69$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.22 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 25c | 203.68$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked No | 80c | 203.53$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 61c | 195.32$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.17 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +8.0wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.