Serie A · resolved market
Will AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00a6ec23efa1f2d143a872a587a2582306376407ca0fcec73785b366ddd32c10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,565
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,565 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 49c | 18,517$9,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,117.11 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 66c | 16,870$11,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,750.99 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b71…4e79backed Yes | 66c | 6,815$4,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,308.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 36c | 6,462$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.15 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 33c | 4,505$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.08 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 26c | 2,524$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.09 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 2,276$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.72 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 31c | 2,119$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.79 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Yes | 27c | 1,850$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a52…da39backed Yes | 71c | 1,655$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd0…93acbacked Yes | 29c | 1,020$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.29 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Yes | 38c | 1,015$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.17 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x034d…9a99backed No | 71c | 907.92$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 44c | 878.55$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes | 27c | 864.5$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.19 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2861…656dbacked No | 72c | 837.09$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 37c | 800.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.3 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5b…cc75backed No | 71c | 784.01$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 29c | 707.24$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.14 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 71c | 624$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.04 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 64c | 562.9$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.86 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed Yes | 30c | 431.1$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.77 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 71c | 419.98$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.18 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 41c | 364.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.15 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 71c | 362.58$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.43 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 19c | 356.72$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.78 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99b5…8d41backed No | 8c | 340.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x769b…2ea9backed Yes | 29c | 330.14$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.4 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…a9c7backed Yes | 29c | 306.37$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 28c | 301.36$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.98 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 299.99$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.99 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 57c | 280.14$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.54 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed No | 32c | 278.84$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.71 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.34per pick | 45cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb804…cd66backed Yes | 26c | 272.49$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.64 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +392.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0454…859ebacked Yes | 72c | 262.65$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.28 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 46c | 262.6$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.79 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 74c | 260.53$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.8 | 141 | 59.6%84 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked No | 61c | 255.79$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.28 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 22c | 213.51$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.76 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 71c | 211.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 31c | 206.22$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 71c | 199.92$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.14 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…51cabacked Yes | 30c | 195.75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.03 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d76…6fd4backed Yes | 26c | 183.77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.99 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 71c | 183.36$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.18 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 31c | 166.45$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.63 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 29c | 165.41$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.44 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 43c | 155.79$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 35c | 155.78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.67 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 27c | 141.66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.41 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed Yes | 29c | 137.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.68 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 136.87$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 46c | 135.27$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +7.4wins | +0.17per pick | 20cpaid | +285.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 74c | 133.03$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.44 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 39c | 129.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…c163backed Yes | 58c | 120.95$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.81 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed No | 19c | 118.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed No | 19c | 118.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 19c | 115.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c10…2e23backed Yes | 26c | 110.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Yes | 28c | 99.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 29c | 99.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.32 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 29c | 99.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.32 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 29c | 99.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.32 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes | 27c | 97.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed No | 79c | 87.9$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.1 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Yes | 30c | 78.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.87 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 65c | 74.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 30c | 72.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.61 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…1583backed Yes | 28c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 27cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd69d…fe68backed No | 46c | 67.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac55…610dbacked Yes | 29c | 66.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 29c | 66.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.88 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9d…527bbacked Yes | 63c | 63.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…8263backed Yes | 69c | 63.19$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked No | 46c | 63.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Yes | 67c | 62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 77c | 56.57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 23c | 55.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.11 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…d727backed No | 63c | 54.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 26c | 52.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7108…32d4backed Yes | 38c | 50.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed No | 31c | 50.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 71c | 50.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed Yes | 30c | 49.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…1863backed Yes | 29c | 49.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 70c | 49.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked No | 72c | 45.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…590ebacked Yes | 33c | 43.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 73c | 42.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 67c | 41.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…98b9backed No | 72c | 39.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?this page
- Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-18?No won
- Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.