TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$304,883
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$316,998

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $304,883 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Yes47c254,934$120,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120,997.6829446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No52c60,000$31,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,8001650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No53c53,352$28,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,075.445736.8%21 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+49.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4da7…7abdbacked No52c21,600$11,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,368540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No52c18,135$9,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,618.48643%37 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed No52c17,256$8,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,286.93742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No53c8,458$4,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,007.228,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No53c7,816$4,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,661.811,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No53c7,771$4,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,652.2519952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No61c6,771$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,671.542,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed No53c5,716$3,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,686.643148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No52c4,826$2,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,294.93,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No53c4,309$2,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,045.2165058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x536a…d21dbacked No52c3,798$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,823.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No52c3,694$1,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,784.125,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44017055.3%94 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No53c2,775$1,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,311.371,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Yes22c2,502$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.984669.6%32 W · 14 L+8.1wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+29%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xc16c…a3aabacked No52c2,186$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.292875%21 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No54c2,003$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.391,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No50c1,692$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.331,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No54c1,600$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73624855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No55c1,414$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.642,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked No79c1,336$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.458740.2%35 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No54c1,200$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55223057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No54c1,200$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55213059.2%77 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No52c1,197$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.5613049.2%64 W · 66 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No75c1,111$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.741,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed No52c1,069$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.233240.6%13 W · 19 L-5.3wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked No52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4803754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No54c925.92$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9227349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed No52c880.64$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.716056.7%34 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No54c800$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37219559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes31c791.19$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.2715326.1%40 W · 113 L+0.7wins0.00per pick26cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No52c747$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.022,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No54c740.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.7427549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed No52c718.76$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.7611763.2%74 W · 43 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No54c700$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32216558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes47c601.58$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.762445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27624053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No43c574.84$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.261,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26cb…9fe7backed No52c571.15$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.154643.5%20 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No53c554.31$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.610467.3%70 W · 34 L+12.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No53c516.8$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.011,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No53c475$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.31,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No53c452.09$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.491,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No75c430.06$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.8282434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8817…cda8backed Yes52c402.92$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.334831.3%15 W · 33 L-5.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-51.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Yes40c399.93$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.252263.6%14 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+35%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No54c392$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.2822457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed No52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.624553.3%24 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No50c303.42$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.051,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No52c303$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.4430754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13828851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13823056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1548…fe8ebacked No52c275.25$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.121090%9 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick61cpaid+50.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No51c269.52$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.1315247.4%72 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No53c255.77$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.491,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No51c250$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12378756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes57c248.02$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.181,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No53c245$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.251,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No54c240$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.416559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No54c240$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.415857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No52c234.88$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.1145253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No52c231.63$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.5618452.2%96 W · 88 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No51c222$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.5750746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed No19c221.25$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.214429.5%13 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+56.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9224956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9218358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No53c178.06$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.6933266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked No54c161.85$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.454969.4%34 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No54c160$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.621358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No54c160$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.422058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc92d…9691backed Yes68c150$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1026958%40 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502556%14 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes36c140.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9921640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No54c140$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.421657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No54c140$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.420360.6%123 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes74c135.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019963.8%127 W · 72 L+19.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No54c129.79$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.541,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked No52c126.9$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6510847.2%51 W · 57 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No54c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.824257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No54c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.818959.3%112 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed No52c110.32$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8810652.8%56 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a0e…5e62backed Yes46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-51.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed No53c104.15$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9912948.1%62 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No54c104$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.842,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No70c103$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4623044.3%102 W · 128 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed No56c102$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.889447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d6d…6b36backed Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No57c98.55$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.641,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Yes15c97.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7713248.5%64 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62e1…7b41backed Yes34c93.21$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x95e4…5134backed No53c91.54$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.023234.4%11 W · 21 L-6.9wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-42.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x69d5…7767backed No53c87.23$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No25c82.6$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5728651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked No44c80.23$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.717748.1%37 W · 40 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No54c80$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.815560%93 W · 62 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked No53c78.35$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5412755.1%70 W · 57 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No71c76.59$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.419953.3%106 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.