TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,229
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,951

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,229 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Yes38c8,751$3,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,322.1729446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No62c7,941$4,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,049.092,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No69c5,180$3,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.455,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No62c4,685$2,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,780.423,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Yes31c4,396$1,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,354.321618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-48.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes46c3,969$1,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,828.510657.5%61 W · 45 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No69c2,299$1,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.568,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes26c1,985$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.023762.2%23 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes39c1,927$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.4516647%78 W · 88 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf38d…18cebacked No65c1,900$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.93450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No53c1,597$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.661,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No62c1,560$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.9665058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes62c1,470$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.219562.1%59 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x973f…dc4ebacked Yes33c1,210$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.285646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No41c1,201$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.311,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No69c798.68$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.692,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No68c769.21$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.231,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No63c760.75$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.8223057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No55c693.08$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.281,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Yes38c633.42$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.711855.1%65 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No62c601.96$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.7320846.6%97 W · 111 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e1…62a2backed Yes27c579.51$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.473658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8644…ad01backed Yes38c577.68$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.5250%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x70dc…1317backed Yes34c565.44$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.082532%8 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-33.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Yes20c552.37$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.056048.3%29 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes38c531.14$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.9431745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19021349.8%106 W · 107 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc617…25e8backed Yes38c498.17$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.312458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x990e…cecfbacked Yes39c494.05$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.684450%22 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No62c483.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.8727349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x294f…4ca9backed Yes33c474.65$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No62c461.02$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.131,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes44c439.38$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.28785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick55cpaid+56.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x45dd…c32ebacked Yes62c408.31$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.731643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No62c400$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15215857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…32f8backed No38c394.74$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.741330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-36.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Yes34c390.55$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.1211230.4%34 W · 78 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-41%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes37c384.56$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.1228940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes27c360.48$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0927133.9%92 W · 179 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes21c339.1$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6825625%64 W · 192 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes31c310.45$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.929256.5%52 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes33c305.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5284943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No68c289.56$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9447758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes10c286.97$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8311323.9%27 W · 86 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes39c284.2$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.8412541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1de9…9499backed Yes34c282.47$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.048146.9%38 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes35c264.3$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5133745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes27c263.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1237540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No65c262.56$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.5818452.2%96 W · 88 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Yes25c257.77$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.224822.9%11 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-45.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes36c244.25$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9313049.2%64 W · 66 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes27c242.02$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3520055%110 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No63c234.63$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.4922853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd876…4c8bbacked Yes9c215.81$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.443225%8 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x449f…f386backed Yes50c208.8$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.71020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-54.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes14c206.41$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.934155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No47c205.11$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.8521765.4%142 W · 75 L+24.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd331…387fbacked Yes34c204.09$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.392035%7 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04e7…332fbacked No62c189.14$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.872352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes39c172.92$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4439127.1%106 W · 285 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes38c167.06$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9294848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cad…0303backed Yes73c152.22$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.121643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No67c146.3$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2863657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No55c138.19$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.741,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes21c132.95$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2736339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes23c127.68$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0885220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes44c127.54$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1219239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Yes39c123.51$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.177034.3%24 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked No50c117.94$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9714254.9%78 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No62c110.87$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1315560%93 W · 62 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes28c110.6$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.633033.3%10 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No63c109.45$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.528851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes11c103.42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6518338.8%71 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No63c101$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.371,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No63c93.31$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7541256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No64c91.69$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.243,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed No62c90.82$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5110652.8%56 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x331b…4e86backed Yes75c82.49$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes73c80.86$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0315158.3%88 W · 63 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4c4…475dbacked Yes37c78.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5c7…207bbacked Yes37c77.49$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8740%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No29c77.3$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1824665.9%162 W · 84 L+26.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2ce1…a25dbacked Yes38c77.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.272853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed No62c75.98$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4912259%72 W · 50 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No67c75.35$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9344959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes39c74.87$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8976951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes71c70.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No62c69.25$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.318855.7%49 W · 39 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes72c68.28$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1611657.8%67 W · 49 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed No75c65.31$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6412464.5%80 W · 44 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d0a…1bd3backed Yes38c63.34$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.071442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84bb…25d3backed Yes71c63.15$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.681225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No63c62.08$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9738861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe43…8f09backed No65c57.08$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.983366.7%22 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Yes37c55.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.376046.7%28 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb82b…bb76backed No27c54.97$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.983324.2%8 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd32…c9aabacked Yes35c54.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.22540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ed5…2aa3backed Yes37c52.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.242759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x166e…3303backed Yes30c51.91$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.628137%30 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed Yes38c50.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.261330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.