TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Botafogo FR vs. SC Internacional end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,915
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,726

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,915 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No51c4,595$2,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,332.895,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes48c3,538$1,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,822.12,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes41c1,939$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.361,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed No66c832.13$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.7611230.4%34 W · 78 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-41%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f6…615bbacked Yes61c617.03$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No61c586.65$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.178,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe479…70dfbacked Yes33c578.66$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.74533.3%15 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No47c425.21$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.5937540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes30c405.09$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.812,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x449f…f386backed Yes40c254.7$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.591020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-54.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No50c225.65$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.9944843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes63c202.69$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.615158.3%88 W · 63 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No23c175.42$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7536339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No55c172.33$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9994848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked No18c166.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9711323.9%27 W · 86 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No39c165.29$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.881,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No70c163.35$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.351,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No44c149.5$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.963,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked No66c120$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.214254.9%78 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes45c114.8$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.72,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45dd…c32ebacked Yes50c110.29$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.141643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed No66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.810157.4%58 W · 43 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes41c98.76$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2783642.9%359 W · 477 L-3.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f96…e7f0backed No64c89.18$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.712161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa590…271cbacked Yes33c84.41$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.552450%12 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+115.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b3e…b265backed Yes33c73.05$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.061346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf6e…c865backed No67c68.61$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.972161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14b7…a035backed No34c65.16$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.12347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No70c64.79$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.341,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No27c55.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.384943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No23c55.34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5771619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd51…ce69backed Yes27c52.74$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.353256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes31c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.570055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc112…d1efbacked Yes29c49.52$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.165020%10 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No69c49.07$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8651749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a03…279abacked No41c48.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.93966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked No67c46.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3318446.2%85 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes33c44.43$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9519239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No51c42.35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.641,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked No59c35.04$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6825864.3%166 W · 92 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed No35c31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8529653%157 W · 139 L+1.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes78c26.64$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.961,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed No70c25.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9319356%108 W · 85 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Yes79c22.44$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6710250%51 W · 51 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No69c19.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5441654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No64c19.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.221,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca7c…7a02backed No67c18.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.27616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.41per pick58cpaid-73.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No60c17.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7963657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No60c17.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7944959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed No60c17.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7919761.9%122 W · 75 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No60c17.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7947758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked No60c17.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.798350.6%42 W · 41 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No60c17.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7934155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1643…6ec8backed No69c15.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.854866.7%32 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc86b…675cbacked No68c15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.22744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.