TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,160,302
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,806,615

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,160,302 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 791 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa136…97debacked Yes64c5,451,775$3,484,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,484,385.920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No37c408,868$149,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259,305.524247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No36c371,664$133,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237,864.917160.6%43 W · 28 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No37c356,165$131,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224,942.481275%9 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+120.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No36c338,000$121,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216,3204757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No36c317,912$114,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202,969.561346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…f402backed No36c300,000$108,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192,000955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.19per pick36cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed No36c264,883$96,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168,420.371154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+44.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No36c244,076$87,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156,208.645738.6%22 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No36c217,643$78,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139,291.42045%9 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No36c172,028$61,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110,097.764228.6%12 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No36c170,194$62,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108,172.448941.6%37 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4761…5ae8backed No36c154,404$55,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98,818.59560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick32cpaid+89.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No37c143,179$52,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90,514.159950.5%50 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No36c138,425$49,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88,586.9893252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b1e…82c9backed No37c135,121$49,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85,126.3210100%10 W · 0 L+6.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+172.1%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No36c134,801$48,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86,272.925752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked No36c116,778$42,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,737.921060%6 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+50.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc96e…f1f9backed No36c116,628$41,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,641.67977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.35per pick42cpaid+92.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe26c…88cfbacked No36c115,778$41,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,097.92560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+151.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No49c115,415$56,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,148.432,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4da7…7abdbacked No36c111,554$40,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,394.561172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick46cpaid+68.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No37c104,940$38,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,271.082653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No36c82,817$29,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,865.6198544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No36c75,162$27,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,046.325347.2%25 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No36c65,259$23,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,765.486429.7%19 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No36c57,000$20,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,4803135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1350…0841backed No36c55,526$20,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,314.21553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No37c55,524$20,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,980.263548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No36c52,997$19,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,917.835431.5%17 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed No36c41,504$14,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,562.281464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+57.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed No36c37,155$13,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,779.2650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No37c36,000$13,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,6806437.5%24 W · 40 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No36c32,860$11,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,030.661457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No36c31,800$11,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,3523345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x087d…b872backed No36c31,151$11,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,936.64560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+47.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No36c30,000$10,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,099.961127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-39.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No49c29,781$14,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,272.1634239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes53c29,021$15,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,416.183259.4%19 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf344…9a04backed No36c27,487$9,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,591.7862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+40.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No37c27,000$9,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,0103839.5%15 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes44c25,825$11,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,280.183036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No37c25,567$9,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,205.8168750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No37c25,266$9,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,848.492744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde8e…3289backed Yes64c24,487$15,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,6184955.1%27 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes63c24,135$15,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,210.4213839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f42…a8febacked Yes64c24,000$15,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,3605154.9%28 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No37c23,845$8,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,095.5221548.4%104 W · 111 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes64c23,438$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00019952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No36c23,370$8,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,956.794459.1%26 W · 18 L+6.9wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+39.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed No36c22,170$7,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,188.81478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.2wins+0.30per pick49cpaid+87.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No36c20,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,8004351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed No36c18,152$6,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,617.384146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ee0…9c9abacked No36c17,381$6,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,123.551850%9 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed No36c15,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,600850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+40.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Yes46c14,952$6,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,924.72812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick32cpaid-73.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed No71c14,402$10,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,180.47757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No36c13,728$4,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,785.772944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked No37c13,514$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,513.511050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+46.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9828…0f7ebacked No36c13,430$4,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,595.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick37cpaid+78.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc6ad…1b86backed No36c13,302$4,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,513.28955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+70.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe9…5e52backed No36c12,720$4,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,140.82040%8 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No36c12,060$4,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,718.43237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No61c10,505$6,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,139.473357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed No71c9,815$6,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,846.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No36c9,380$3,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,003.22339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed No37c9,199$3,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,767.082240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+40%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No37c8,941$3,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,633.035459.3%32 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa160…442bbacked No36c8,868$3,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,675.52475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+68.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x536a…d21dbacked No36c8,645$3,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,532.93955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed No36c8,573$3,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,486.721266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+66.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No36c8,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,120.113951.3%20 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No36c7,966$2,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,064.4835646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes64c7,813$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0009650%48 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked No64c7,481$4,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,679.781163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No51c7,336$3,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,617.221,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b91…06c4backed Yes38c6,568$2,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4961040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Yes64c6,451$4,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,128.91040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes64c6,442$4,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,122.6714752.4%77 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No36c6,400$2,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0966165.6%40 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No36c6,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,839.9212153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked No36c5,612$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,591.681369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.30per pick39cpaid+86.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed No37c5,403$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,403.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+82%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked No36c5,167$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,306.83742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked No36c5,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,200450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No71c4,945$3,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.199149.5%45 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+110.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No36c4,800$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,071.994971.4%35 W · 14 L+9.6wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+45.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No39c4,659$1,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,822.4627453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes13c4,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007424.3%18 W · 56 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4920…2ef4backed No39c4,315$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,615.211283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+60.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes43c4,129$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,78010451%53 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes62c3,670$2,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,275.4732650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No37c3,647$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,315.8824953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes59c3,528$2,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,087.287656.6%43 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No36c3,400$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,158.9541954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31cb…a34bbacked No37c3,242$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,042.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked No36c3,200$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0481931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No36c3,160$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,022.41650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed No37c3,145$1,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,981.291060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ddc…03c3backed No36c3,008$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,925.21533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.