Serie A · resolved market
Will SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06b238ab99f8803816ca9938fa85785023505dec98f02f7b9606c08ae4a6539b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 66c | 31,108$20,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,681.51 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 15,234$6,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,010.66 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 59c | 12,622$7,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,484.2 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 72c | 8,242$5,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.8 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes | 59c | 6,186$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 24c | 5,650$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 5,582$2,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,707.82 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 23c | 5,528$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.45 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Yes | 33c | 5,100$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 46c | 4,747$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,557.13 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…0365backed No | 77c | 3,828$2,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.3 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 33c | 3,770$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.15 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 32c | 3,548$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.02 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 69c | 3,460$2,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.7 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 76c | 3,043$2,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.99 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 23c | 2,764$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.72 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 21c | 2,543$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.37 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 68c | 2,001$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.31 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked No | 77c | 1,990$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.7 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 23c | 1,757$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 76c | 1,673$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.69 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 22c | 1,666$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.44 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 37c | 1,512$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 23c | 1,478$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.85 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…3eddbacked Yes | 23c | 1,457$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 23c | 1,436$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.19 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 23c | 1,378$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…0776backed No | 77c | 1,250$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 77c | 1,235$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.16 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 79c | 1,082$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.44 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 76c | 1,030$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 23c | 1,030$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.9 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 31c | 955.74$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.28 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 24c | 827.97$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.36 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 67c | 689.31$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.48 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab7…d03cbacked Yes | 24c | 662.5$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Yes | 56c | 659.16$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Yes | 23c | 643.7$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.05 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 76c | 606.92$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.66 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 23c | 589.08$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.49 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 22c | 542.66$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.09 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 77c | 505.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Yes | 19c | 500$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 10c | 477.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 68c | 459.43$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.22 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 14c | 389.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 44c | 364.97$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.82 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Yes | 19c | 308.74$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed Yes | 19c | 308.53$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes | 77c | 300$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f7…ae57backed Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 28c | 291.38$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.59 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Yes | 21c | 285.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…cc7dbacked Yes | 8c | 281.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 22c | 272.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8339…caa9backed Yes | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc96…1245backed Yes | 36c | 265.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.75 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x544d…88c5backed Yes | 34c | 251.97$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…4d0abacked Yes | 34c | 229.75$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e2…20ccbacked Yes | 65c | 224.42$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d76…6fd4backed Yes | 26c | 207.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…323abacked Yes | 8c | 191.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…c9d0backed Yes | 61c | 185.82$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2c…86bcbacked Yes | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4392…0da3backed Yes | 59c | 169.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked Yes | 23c | 161.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf41…9108backed No | 64c | 156.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed No | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 66c | 150.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 70c | 149.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Yes | 65c | 148.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac9…68bfbacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…fe8ebacked No | 66c | 136.2$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.31 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x909e…735cbacked Yes | 23c | 134.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 68c | 134.23$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.61 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes | 77c | 130.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…d98bbacked Yes | 54c | 130.22$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6b…3962backed Yes | 23c | 129.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7b…decfbacked Yes | 11c | 127.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b2…ffa9backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked Yes | 27c | 120.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 35c | 120$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.09 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 77c | 120$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Yes | 42c | 116$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d987backed Yes | 26c | 114.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed No | 55c | 110.91$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 64c | 110.61$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187e…70d3backed Yes | 53c | 110.42$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 21c | 104.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a6…fec7backed Yes | 19c | 103.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes | 31c | 103.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 103.16$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?this page
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-11?Yes won
- Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.