TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x544d…88c5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: La Liga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 55 out of 100; worst Serie A at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5046%23 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.81
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$102.53
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.67
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.78
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.81
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$44.8
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.89
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.6
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$36.92
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$12.58
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$19.46
Exact Score: DR Congo 2 - 1 Uzbekistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Exact Score: DR Congo 1 - 1 Uzbekistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
England leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.78
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$45.93
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$28.59
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$31.25
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-05-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Will CD Castellón vs. Cádiz CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$10.95
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+106.3%+$67
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+38%+$22.44
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$24.57
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 9 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-67.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-48%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+38%+$25.46
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Alverca vs. Estoril Praia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+102.2%+$35.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.41
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.