TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$314,634
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$341,082

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $314,634 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No6c59,931$3,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,895.5210952.3%57 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes70c44,412$31,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,339.422,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes9c37,482$3,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,108.1730828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes32c17,346$5,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,873.834239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d9…ecd7backed Yes30c9,880$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,879.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+229.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4900…4a72backed No74c9,794$7,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,247.23250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No45c7,910$3,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,587.831,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No41c6,418$2,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,626.753748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No42c5,943$2,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,497.793252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No62c4,938$3,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,074.7811053.6%59 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed No44c4,600$2,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,044.843053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed No54c4,555$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,459.742524%6 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-44.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes30c4,471$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,142.638342.2%35 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes9c4,000$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,621.584528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Yes10c4,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,599.981050%5 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+149.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No57c3,629$2,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,067.755955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes10c3,265$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,942.873928.2%11 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+62.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No7c3,174$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.4431738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes44c3,051$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,704.2332650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ba…3bccbacked Yes11c2,872$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,555.71742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick19cpaid+148.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No6c2,845$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.2516819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No72c2,656$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900.1549850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes47c2,432$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.7822373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes59c2,308$1,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.152466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+40.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed No72c2,025$1,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,457.751181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick61cpaid+67.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes57c2,020$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.482642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes58c1,982$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.564463.6%28 W · 16 L+7.2wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+30.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Yes27c1,852$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+44.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No71c1,613$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.993141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked No54c1,610$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.16132.8%20 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Yes46c1,461$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.73837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick29cpaid-23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No69c1,319$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.0222743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes58c1,211$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.329862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No50c1,194$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59731051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes12c1,170$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.342250%11 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+49.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked No72c1,164$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.093638.9%14 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes9c1,060$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.524953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes38c1,053$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.633259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed No70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001050%5 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No67c999.99$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.993363.6%21 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes47c904.16$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.6719042.6%81 W · 109 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f82…c446backed No56c775.85$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.79850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked No68c736.47$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003464.7%22 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed No66c710$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.62152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4538…7d5cbacked Yes51c705.88$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.88425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27b0…2758backed Yes56c700.95$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked Yes38c689.63$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.66475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes30c622.47$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.737945.6%36 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked No66c600$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39315042%63 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x168a…7e93backed Yes49c593.99$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.93650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec5a…cd56backed No71c586.99$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x780f…5f16backed No69c577.96$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-47.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Yes40c569.85$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.321866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+46.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Yes76c539.16$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.0111360.2%68 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6cd…acebbacked No52c525.37$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.1420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62a1…d53ebacked Yes10c500$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501915.8%3 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick28cpaid+0.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f42…a8febacked No67c499.99$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.995154.9%28 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed No61c491$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.511637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+44.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes51c470.34$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.341361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes35c459.4$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.3341144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes54c450$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.52450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+24.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc96…1245backed Yes48c448.87$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.412060%12 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No73c419.54$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.554452.3%23 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes19c413.33$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.332634.6%9 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick20cpaid+75.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked No67c400.53$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x867b…9fbabacked Yes10c400$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3603458.8%20 W · 14 L+4.8wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+47.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No13c384.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508158%47 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f0d…4f81backed Yes38c383.65$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes13c375.7$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.3139740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed No54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010451%53 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb25…f7f3backed Yes32c352.49$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.26475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+56.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes46c336$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.42951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7803…c9afbacked Yes30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.33333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.337538.7%29 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Yes30c316.13$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.295135.3%18 W · 33 L-6.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked Yes8c293.41$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.941631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick20cpaid+134.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes9c284$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.4413840.6%56 W · 82 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0378…030bbacked No71c281.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-64%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No62c269$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.787763.6%49 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No59c263$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.646742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5d3…9fc7backed Yes44c237.89$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.04540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1384…0626backed Yes49c235.32$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.32450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x037f…dd7ebacked Yes11c230$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.71315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick20cpaid+10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2adc…0afabacked Yes55c218.56$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.56988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick70cpaid+28.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x17f7…a181backed No71c212.68$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d4e…6478backed Yes43c212.26$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.99944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b13…e9f7backed No71c211.27$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9f6…55aabacked No14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2830%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7018…290abacked No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52bc…4e1cbacked Yes10c200$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+900%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b33…044ebacked No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No51c199.5$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1914442.4%61 W · 83 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb442…833ebacked Yes28c197.82$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.82580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+73.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No65c194.98$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.5211547.8%55 W · 60 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9165…e7e7backed Yes27c188.89$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.89666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+76.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked No66c187.7$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.882161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d65…f7eebacked Yes54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.19475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50ca…bfddbacked No11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202544%11 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No56c179.61$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7122545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00fd…32a0backed Yes47c179.33$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.043100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.