TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,882
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,481

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,882 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No70c9,531$6,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,827.315459.3%32 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No70c5,373$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,623.2222373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes31c4,517$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.2193252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No69c3,852$2,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.0734239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes6c3,457$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.33748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Yes31c3,226$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001915.8%3 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-61.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No75c2,096$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.0211053.6%59 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3404528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes28c1,774$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.5639740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No69c1,667$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.779576.8%73 W · 22 L+20.8wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+49.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes31c1,613$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-37.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No67c1,344$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.1422743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes28c1,258$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.1941144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No78c1,255$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.455955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013553.3%72 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes25c1,184$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.22825%2 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No71c997.66$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.8149850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes34c932.99$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.894136.6%15 W · 26 L-6.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes33c932.32$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.210451%53 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No69c923.03$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.0913350.4%67 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes11c896.23$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9813826.1%36 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x210a…1080backed Yes31c754.84$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2341216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-74.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0f0c…ba73backed Yes3c710.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-77.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53e4…6f6bbacked Yes30c699.96$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508158%47 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008644.2%38 W · 48 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes31c580.65$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1804131.7%13 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes17c575.73$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8730828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes20c490.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005547.3%26 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe521…9caebacked Yes33c447$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.511315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick16cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No66c419.54$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.954452.3%23 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d76…6fd4backed Yes31c354.84$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010147.5%48 W · 53 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001963.2%12 W · 7 L+6.0wins+0.32per pick31cpaid+137%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes18c307.37$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.333855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18d7…2968backed Yes33c303.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Yes32c280.63$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes9c261.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7517651.7%91 W · 85 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes34c245.46$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.034320.9%9 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes25c218.09$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552025%5 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No78c212.48$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7222545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No55c208$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.631051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes34c202.94$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692035%7 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes34c199.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6810757%61 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No70c182.4$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.729661.5%59 W · 37 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+26.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x544d…88c5backed Yes34c176.47$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked No61c170.63$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.766132.8%20 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x697e…9904backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58a2…092bbacked Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+108.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No68c149.98$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9920749.3%102 W · 105 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No66c149.07$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.683762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf829…e771backed Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1384…0626backed Yes43c122.93$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.86450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fca…819abacked Yes33c121.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No60c115.45$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.216950.7%35 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Yes34c106.91$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.352437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba97…716bbacked Yes30c102.94$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-47.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes26c100.12$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.033740.5%15 W · 22 L-5.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-35.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313441.2%14 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5632…ebbebacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3412422.6%28 W · 96 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid+12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23f…6c8abacked Yes34c99.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes34c99.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3422237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No76c95.36$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.063953.8%21 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Yes34c88.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305038%19 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Yes34c88.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb009…7a8ebacked Yes31c87.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2740%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d20…4313backed Yes17c84.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes45c80$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cbd…a3a4backed Yes34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x361f…5edabacked Yes34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6598…9dfebacked No68c73.11$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde4d…df45backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42e7…d4ccbacked No73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.49366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fe1…473abacked Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3f…eadfbacked Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201650%8 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Yes29c63$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4513157.3%75 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a21…50d3backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdceb…6be7backed Yes17c60$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.22240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc96…1245backed Yes46c59.77$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.352060%12 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No69c58.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.27964.6%51 W · 28 L+10.0wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Yes35c54.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.973033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-32.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b7f…5fc3backed Yes31c51.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No55c51.2$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0427453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3109…ff47backed Yes31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.51040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x352b…abd8backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1931738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f5e…e107backed Yes33c48.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a0a…c19ebacked Yes33c46.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.31127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-51.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07d9…c160backed Yes34c44.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93b2…34b5backed Yes34c43.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.92425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebe5…d852backed Yes32c43.59$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes29c41.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-65.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23e2…9ecdbacked Yes31c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.42343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb851…824fbacked Yes33c39.68$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No61c36$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.952948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.