TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x05d9…ecd7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: MLB, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT3633.3%12 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Todi: Daniel Michalski vs Lukas Neumayerbacked Daniel Michalski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$541Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$541
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan Choinskibacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.56
Brownsburg: Joel Schwaerzler vs Andres Andradebacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cincinnati Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$566.67
Brownsburg: Edas Butvilas vs Daniel Milavskybacked Daniel Milavsky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$834Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$469.15
Lexington: Edas Butvilas vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.8
National Bank Open: Juncheng Shang vs Andrey Rublevbacked Juncheng Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,077Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+404.4%+$4,356.07
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,095Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,095
San Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Mili Poljicakbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$717Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$717.5
Hamburg European Open: Tamara Korpatsch vs Julia Stusekbacked Julia Stusek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.99
Palermo: Federica Urgesi vs Elizara Yanevabacked Elizara Yaneva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$406.18
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+62.9%+$216.25
Athens Open: Martha Matoula vs Elena Micicbacked Martha Matoula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$530.6
Athens Open: Mina Hodzic vs Harriet Dartbacked Harriet Dart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$199.23
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$940.23
Iasi Open, Qualification: Zhibek Kulambayeva vs Lisa Zaarbacked Lisa Zaar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$916Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$356.39
Bogota: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeidabacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$924Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$923.65
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Alexander Zverevbacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$421.22
Braunschweig: Laslo Djere vs Daniel Rinconbacked Daniel Rincon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+300%+$1,117.86
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Michael Zhengbacked Michael Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$962Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$961.68
Wimbledon WTA: Claire Liu vs Coco Gauffbacked Claire Liu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.55
Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,920Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,920.5
Wimbledon ATP: Gabriel Diallo vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$491.05
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3423.5%8 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$16.56
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,209.39
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$546Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$546.29
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$725Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$724.53
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$945Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$944.63
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$3,215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,214.73
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advancebacked Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15,252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,251.92
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$439.73
France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+143.5%+$1,434.67
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$767Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$766.76
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$1,416.67
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$267
Will Uzbekistan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$398.06
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$3,347.83
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,230.44
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$145.05
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$478
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Uzbekistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,146.26
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+43%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-58.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+229.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+229.3%+$6,879.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+157.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+157.1%+$7,855.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$6,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+93.1%+$6,331.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series Sri Lanka vs Pakistan, Women: Sri Lanka vs Pakistanbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commoditieslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 21?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.