MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8971d6d3b52a5afd048fc453ab752b93d907f460951147842b5372ce37287e4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Miami Marlins, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $937,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $841,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $937,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 345 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b21…a230backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 200,017$97,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,608.28 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 68,212$34,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,996.46 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Miami Marlins | 28c | 68,209$19,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,098.42 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 27,285$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,284.53 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 22,313$10,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,041.05 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89dd…f662backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 22,103$10,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,609.37 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 19,231$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,230.77 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 18,983$8,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,358.57 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 17,170$10,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,141.56 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 15,506$6,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,680.03 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Miami Marlins | 32c | 15,029$4,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,852.69 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 14,222$7,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,542.3 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 14,071$7,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,754.07 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 13,200$6,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,072 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8f…449bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 70c | 11,742$8,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,572.61 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 9,985$4,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,693 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 9,277$3,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,322.27 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 8,966$5,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,876.58 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 8,683$4,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,042.31 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 7,777$3,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,810.71 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 7,391$3,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,565.68 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…9e9fbacked Miami Marlins | 35c | 7,143$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 6,930$3,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,190.91 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 6,758$3,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,280.24 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 33c | 6,643$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,213.91 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 6,383$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 5,520$3,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.93 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 5,295$3,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Miami Marlins | 32c | 4,824$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.97 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Miami Marlins | 33c | 4,545$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439c…8a28backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 4,138$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.93 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 3,197$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.57 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 3,100$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 2,522$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.41 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Miami Marlins | 3c | 2,490$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.41 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 2,416$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.35 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Miami Marlins | 25c | 2,360$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.7 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 2,308$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.69 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 2,210$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.44 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 2,200$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6285…3f5abacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 2,070$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.09 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.1wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -70%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 2,066$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.29 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 2,031$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.22 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 2,004$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.09 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 1,981$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.96 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 1,949$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.98 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 1,845$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.69 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Miami Marlins | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…b714backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 1,425$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.37 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Miami Marlins | 29c | 1,359$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.15 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 1,346$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.19 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 1,293$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.39 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Miami Marlins | 35c | 1,284$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.52 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 1,259$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.78 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d9…ecd7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 72c | 1,217$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 1,144$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.44 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 68c | 1,105$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.2 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 1,059$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.76 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 1,041$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.21 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 67c | 1,036$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.04 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 1,025$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.55 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -44%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 1,002$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.96 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3c…5607backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 899.91$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.96 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 851.62$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.56 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 846.94$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e70…582fbacked Miami Marlins | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 825.37$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.91 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 809$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.23 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 800.5$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.55 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb45…0cadbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 785.06$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.13 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…955abacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 782.53$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.12 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 754.11$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.11 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 700$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 663.46$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.46 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 631.87$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.36 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 612.86$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.04 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 70c | 590.39$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.67 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 584.01$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.96 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked Miami Marlins | 38c | 581.58$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d0…95babacked Miami Marlins | 37c | 580.86$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.92 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 552.26$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.55 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 541$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.86 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…1a3ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 495.7$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.19 | 218 | 41.3%90 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 492$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.24 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 485.04$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.02 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 464.13$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.66 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 462.18$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.88 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33d5…7146backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 19c | 423.9$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.36 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +181%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 420$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.8 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 412.65$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.11 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 73c | 405$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.1 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 399.99$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.33 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Miami Marlins | 32c | 367.64$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.65 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 12.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh PiratesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.