Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d43d1ec7d38508dba0c37b924863c4d887067b57c53f95e16a9cc618fde4ea2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jurij Rodionovof Jacob Fearnley, Jurij Rodionov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $337,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $369,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $337,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc547…c7f0backed Jacob Fearnley | 56c | 23,400$13,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,005.13 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Jurij Rodionov | 56c | 17,894$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,893.51 | 769 | 39.8%306 W · 463 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jurij Rodionov | 51c | 17,493$8,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,536.82 | 9,267 | 36.2%3,352 W · 5,915 L | -199.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Jurij Rodionov | 19c | 16,150$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,039.47 | 4,407 | 52.3%2,304 W · 2,103 L | +66.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Jacob Fearnley | 1c | 15,900$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 728 | 29.5%215 W · 513 L | -42.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked Jacob Fearnley | 55c | 11,493$6,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,295.96 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jacob Fearnley | 73c | 9,554$7,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,006.67 | 11,877 | 43.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L | +19.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Jacob Fearnley | 70c | 9,537$6,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,719.97 | 87 | 66.7%58 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x013e…65ddbacked Jurij Rodionov | 46c | 8,603$3,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,650.4 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Jurij Rodionov | 44c | 7,965$3,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,458.28 | 285 | 39.3%112 W · 173 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Jacob Fearnley | 69c | 7,801$5,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,375.79 | 1,250 | 46.2%578 W · 672 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3705…9677backed Jurij Rodionov | 14c | 5,087$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,375.13 | 139 | 28.8%40 W · 99 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Jurij Rodionov | 49c | 5,071$2,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,577.41 | 3,776 | 42.6%1,608 W · 2,168 L | -44.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Jacob Fearnley | 54c | 4,631$2,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,492.6 | 180 | 45.6%82 W · 98 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…608ebacked Jacob Fearnley | 61c | 4,464$2,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,711.69 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca7…39dbbacked Jurij Rodionov | 63c | 3,667$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38a…3293backed Jacob Fearnley | 30c | 3,287$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x805f…54a4backed Jurij Rodionov | 16c | 3,133$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,632.06 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x658e…d758backed Jacob Fearnley | 55c | 3,049$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Jurij Rodionov | 31c | 2,868$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978.92 | 347 | 37.8%131 W · 216 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30aa…162abacked Jurij Rodionov | 47c | 2,758$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.58 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Jurij Rodionov | 40c | 2,361$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.9 | 2,804 | 53.7%1,505 W · 1,299 L | +71.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Jurij Rodionov | 73c | 2,282$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.43 | 5,075 | 41.5%2,104 W · 2,971 L | -83.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Jurij Rodionov | 58c | 2,241$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.38 | 229 | 56.3%129 W · 100 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Jacob Fearnley | 51c | 1,980$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.32 | 4,305 | 45%1,939 W · 2,366 L | +20.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Jurij Rodionov | 43c | 1,942$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.73 | 763 | 39.2%299 W · 464 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Jacob Fearnley | 56c | 1,910$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.57 | 659 | 39.6%261 W · 398 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3afa…ac33backed Jurij Rodionov | 46c | 1,807$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…0eacbacked Jurij Rodionov | 45c | 1,729$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.01 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Jurij Rodionov | 46c | 1,688$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.55 | 1,815 | 46.5%844 W · 971 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Jurij Rodionov | 48c | 1,649$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.14 | 2,925 | 39.6%1,158 W · 1,767 L | -85.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Jurij Rodionov | 45c | 1,594$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.56 | 3,752 | 45.3%1,700 W · 2,052 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Jacob Fearnley | 55c | 1,540$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847 | 553 | 43.2%239 W · 314 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Jurij Rodionov | 14c | 1,461$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.83 | 5,031 | 38.5%1,939 W · 3,092 L | -20.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Jacob Fearnley | 47c | 1,411$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.25 | 1,447 | 42.8%620 W · 827 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Jurij Rodionov | 41c | 1,279$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.54 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Jurij Rodionov | 38c | 1,215$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.09 | 1,733 | 48.4%839 W · 894 L | +40.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Jacob Fearnley | 52c | 1,105$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.52 | 165 | 41.8%69 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdb…c4eebacked Jurij Rodionov | 45c | 1,047$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.8 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…732ebacked Jacob Fearnley | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 371 | 53.6%199 W · 172 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c0…5135backed Jacob Fearnley | 53c | 996.23$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.13 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Jacob Fearnley | 54c | 927.18$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,461 | 48.8%713 W · 748 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Jurij Rodionov | 42c | 902.55$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.82 | 5,486 | 56.3%3,088 W · 2,398 L | +232.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Jurij Rodionov | 40c | 900$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 459 | 48.8%224 W · 235 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Jacob Fearnley | 55c | 861.67$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.92 | 630 | 45.4%286 W · 344 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Jurij Rodionov | 45c | 847.51$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.02 | 284 | 55.3%157 W · 127 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…9420backed Jacob Fearnley | 62c | 842$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.69 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Jurij Rodionov | 40c | 833.77$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.65 | 1,793 | 49.4%885 W · 908 L | +62.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Jurij Rodionov | 48c | 822.82$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…d0f0backed Jacob Fearnley | 52c | 795.8$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.82 | 482 | 54.8%264 W · 218 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Jurij Rodionov | 55c | 791.22$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.05 | 258 | 48.8%126 W · 132 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b46…e199backed Jurij Rodionov | 78c | 789.21$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.63 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafef…f50ebacked Jurij Rodionov | 32c | 781.25$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.25 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x615b…9591backed Jurij Rodionov | 71c | 780.38$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.31 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Jacob Fearnley | 60c | 767.04$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.23 | 1,852 | 46.6%863 W · 989 L | +19.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Jacob Fearnley | 77c | 753.68$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.08 | 3,238 | 57.3%1,854 W · 1,384 L | +179.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Jacob Fearnley | 73c | 740.1$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.92 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Jurij Rodionov | 46c | 735.31$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.3 | 303 | 38.3%116 W · 187 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Jacob Fearnley | 55c | 699.99$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.99 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jacob Fearnley | 55c | 683.62$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.11 | 8,921 | 42.6%3,799 W · 5,122 L | -169.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Jacob Fearnley | 74c | 675.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 1,150 | 45.4%522 W · 628 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Jacob Fearnley | 56c | 671.54$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.06 | 104 | 60.6%63 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Jacob Fearnley | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 562 | 41.5%233 W · 329 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Jacob Fearnley | 55c | 644.5$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.48 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Jurij Rodionov | 30c | 599.97$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.98 | 7,157 | 39.8%2,848 W · 4,309 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b0…5294backed Jurij Rodionov | 69c | 579.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.71 | 479 | 50.9%244 W · 235 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8d…621fbacked Jacob Fearnley | 57c | 568.74$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.18 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…dbbabacked Jacob Fearnley | 57c | 540.84$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.69 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Jurij Rodionov | 46c | 540$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.6 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe004…d87cbacked Jacob Fearnley | 65c | 522.29$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.48 | 157 | 61.1%96 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Jacob Fearnley | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 579 | 44.2%256 W · 323 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa2…6e69backed Jacob Fearnley | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Jurij Rodionov | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 341 | 34.6%118 W · 223 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Jacob Fearnley | 61c | 498.06$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.15 | 2,369 | 52.2%1,236 W · 1,133 L | +87.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Jacob Fearnley | 56c | 483.71$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.13 | 617 | 46.2%285 W · 332 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Jurij Rodionov | 30c | 437.78$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.43 | 2,581 | 38.7%999 W · 1,582 L | +100.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Jurij Rodionov | 39c | 422.98$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.61 | 1,121 | 52.2%585 W · 536 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Jacob Fearnley | 63c | 413.21$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.98 | 1,856 | 46.8%868 W · 988 L | -55.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Jurij Rodionov | 30c | 399$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.3 | 222 | 50.9%113 W · 109 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…4b52backed Jurij Rodionov | 74c | 394$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.26 | 194 | 87.6%170 W · 24 L | +41.8wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Jurij Rodionov | 72c | 391.67$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.58 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…3d65backed Jacob Fearnley | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb978…fac0backed Jacob Fearnley | 57c | 362.98$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.9 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…3d5cbacked Jacob Fearnley | 65c | 357$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.05 | 325 | 53.5%174 W · 151 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf8…27cfbacked Jacob Fearnley | 70c | 352.86$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…9c72backed Jacob Fearnley | 65c | 348$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.2 | 456 | 55.3%252 W · 204 L | +21.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Jacob Fearnley | 63c | 331.01$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.16 | 1,112 | 57.9%644 W · 468 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Jurij Rodionov | 45c | 326.67$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.67 | 329 | 43.8%144 W · 185 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Jacob Fearnley | 54c | 316.67$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 138 | 49.3%68 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Jurij Rodionov | 30c | 315.06$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.54 | 3,397 | 48.6%1,652 W · 1,745 L | -47.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked Jurij Rodionov | 45c | 311.42$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.28 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Jacob Fearnley | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 193 | 47.7%92 W · 101 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1058…01c1backed Jacob Fearnley | 65c | 290.55$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.55 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Jacob Fearnley | 70c | 260$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Jacob Fearnley | 56c | 260$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.8 | 519 | 41%213 W · 306 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Jacob Fearnley | 45c | 246.56$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.91 | 9,444 | 44.3%4,188 W · 5,256 L | -249.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Jurij Rodionov | 38c | 229.5$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.29 | 4,803 | 49.5%2,379 W · 2,424 L | +174.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Jacob Fearnley | 32c | 220$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 170 | 37.1%63 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Jurij Rodionov | 31c | 216.19$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.17 | 458 | 27.1%124 W · 334 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Jurij Rodionov | 42c | 203.17$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.56 | 606 | 41.3%250 W · 356 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionovthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Fearnley vs RodionovFearnley won
- Set 2 Winner: Fearnley vs RodionovRodionov won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.