MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b8e247d19666cb32fa3d0f13b729c7b986643edd964c7df13bb74ac4214a46b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Miami Marlins, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $845,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,005,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $845,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 342 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 150,820$87,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,360.42 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 145,807$61,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,236.88 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 68,310$27,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,274.86 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 64,130$26,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,934.6 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 52,485$31,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,828.82 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 36,000$20,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,120 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 36,000$20,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,059.99 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…4c4fbacked Miami Marlins | 28c | 36,000$10,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,079.98 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 33,105$19,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,574.06 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…36c4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 28,474$16,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,959.02 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 25,696$14,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,253.07 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 24,516$10,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,540.23 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 23,810$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 22,149$9,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,302.75 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 17,841$10,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,589.5 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 16,917$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,917.07 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d9…ecd7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 12,821$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,820.51 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 12,401$7,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,084.41 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 11,905$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 11,237$4,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,856.62 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00c…f4febacked Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 11,181$6,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,332.98 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Miami Marlins | 27c | 11,023$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,924.98 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 78c | 10,519$8,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,356.75 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 10,167$5,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,270.09 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 69c | 8,509$5,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,655.15 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 8,350$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,349.77 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99aa…6c5abacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 6,707$2,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,954.6 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 6,523$2,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,739.62 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 6,392$3,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,748.54 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 5,341$3,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,302.08 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Miami Marlins | 19c | 5,316$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Miami Marlins | 14c | 5,000$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.45 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 4,500$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 4,380$2,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132.86 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 72c | 4,313$3,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.15 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tampa Bay Rays | 72c | 4,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.86 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 3,492$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.92 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 3,439$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.83 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Miami Marlins | 59c | 3,288$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.93 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 3,237$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.52 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 3,061$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.71 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Miami Marlins | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6715…5085backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.02 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Tampa Bay Rays | 76c | 2,431$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.24 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…6dafbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 75c | 2,399$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.86 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 68c | 2,338$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.72 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 71c | 2,282$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.79 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 2,050$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Miami Marlins | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.99 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 1,878$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.18 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Miami Marlins | 1c | 1,675$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 1,667$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.14 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Miami Marlins | 26c | 1,529$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 1,500$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 1,499$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.4 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e1…0458backed Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 1,488$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc30…1b31backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 1,300$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef1…b97dbacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 1,300$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.98 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.33per pick | 52cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 1,283$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.16 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 1,244$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.57 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 1,239$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.19 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Miami Marlins | 26c | 1,197$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.2 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 1,195$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.81 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 1,164$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.79 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 1,037$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.85 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 1,025$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.33 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Miami Marlins | 39c | 1,009$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.51 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Miami Marlins | 34c | 1,006$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.99 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Marlins | 30c | 1,004$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.48 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 988.14$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.72 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 947.95$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.9 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Miami Marlins | 40c | 913.52$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.88 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…6cb6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 900$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 73c | 884.99$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.12 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…ea35backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 860.56$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 76c | 809.46$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.63 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Miami Marlins | 19c | 800$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21df…fdbcbacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 797.94$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.13 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Miami Marlins | 19c | 789.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 784.27$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.35 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10e…beedbacked Miami Marlins | 32c | 782.65$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.45 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Tampa Bay Rays | 66c | 767.39$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.56 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 750$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe18…3980backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 744.21$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 740.02$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.06 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Tampa Bay Rays | 71c | 730.65$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.65 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 715.12$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.35 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 714$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.02 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 638.1$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.57 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 564$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.88 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Raysthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-4.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay RaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.