Music · resolved market
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6ddb19f848ac363330d0a690cfe6818d4c51e837161a41d42675eda27767ed0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,594,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,052,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,594,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 5,083 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45b0…4857backed Yes | 36c | 1,012,283$364,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364,020.47 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x535c…96babacked Yes | 36c | 190,000$69,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…86b5backed Yes | 36c | 187,748$67,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,589.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 61c | 111,931$68,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,541.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…4c4cbacked No | 65c | 93,694$61,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,465.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca7…3303backed Yes | 14c | 86,705$12,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,225.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed No | 52c | 82,838$42,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,004.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked Yes | 48c | 80,563$38,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,518.35 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc28d…15fbbacked Yes | 33c | 78,800$25,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,767.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 53c | 62,985$33,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,513.26 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +128.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69ad…31e6backed Yes | 22c | 54,858$11,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,817.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5b…e0d3backed Yes | 36c | 49,200$17,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,761.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19cf…ce7bbacked Yes | 36c | 48,074$17,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,354.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9645…82efbacked Yes | 29c | 45,979$13,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,149.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 45c | 44,752$20,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,004.17 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0b…4e72backed Yes | 40c | 41,761$16,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,629.94 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…d9b7backed Yes | 39c | 41,128$16,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,165.19 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…6078backed Yes | 21c | 39,848$8,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,487.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 42c | 39,770$16,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,766.69 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 35c | 38,922$13,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,466.24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +143.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 51c | 37,279$19,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,201.39 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +205.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 55c | 34,381$19,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,378.8 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1289…3985backed Yes | 48c | 34,146$16,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,537.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15b…38afbacked Yes | 40c | 33,148$13,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,318.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +800.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 58c | 32,370$18,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,616.99 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9301…3b67backed No | 78c | 31,482$24,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,992.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 52c | 30,956$16,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,800.77 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc335…9faebacked Yes | 52c | 29,428$15,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,367.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…ba79backed No | 78c | 28,080$21,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,276.87 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1e…6906backed Yes | 42c | 27,611$11,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,717.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 50c | 27,300$13,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,628.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc917…c359backed Yes | 45c | 27,158$12,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,231.06 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa3…e6c8backed No | 67c | 26,650$17,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,714.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 40c | 26,483$10,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,647.74 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd792…4eb1backed No | 67c | 26,100$17,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,534.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c4…cafbbacked Yes | 38c | 26,063$10,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,015 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5e…7082backed No | 67c | 26,050$17,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,518.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa49…2cd0backed No | 71c | 24,882$17,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,116.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…be63backed No | 64c | 24,700$15,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,916.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d7…d21dbacked No | 64c | 24,625$15,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,889.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6f…6485backed No | 64c | 24,500$15,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,844.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b01…24a9backed Yes | 40c | 24,466$9,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,836.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…4867backed Yes | 44c | 24,066$10,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,494.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbb…6e96backed Yes | 0c | 24,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 47c | 23,992$11,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,365.3 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ec…0993backed No | 64c | 23,449$14,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,465.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 38c | 23,372$8,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,799.56 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -70%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 59c | 23,101$13,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,372.82 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5261…f94bbacked Yes | 42c | 22,000$9,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,189.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 21,520$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.33 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…9919backed Yes | 35c | 21,500$7,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,527.9 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…fa1abacked No | 71c | 21,097$15,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,033.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3811…8f61backed Yes | 49c | 19,792$9,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,772.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ee…9bdcbacked Yes | 36c | 18,759$6,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,709.5 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes | 40c | 18,465$7,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,324.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…c44dbacked Yes | 29c | 18,393$5,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,397.34 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 34c | 18,279$6,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,234.55 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed No | 57c | 18,000$10,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,736 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28c7…fb64backed Yes | 45c | 17,932$8,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,074.91 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yes | 46c | 17,685$8,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,157.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 36c | 17,164$6,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200.91 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked No | 68c | 16,924$11,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,405.2 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 46c | 16,672$7,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,619.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…abebbacked Yes | 46c | 16,535$7,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,665.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…22f9backed Yes | 30c | 15,909$4,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,843.64 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…de3dbacked Yes | 39c | 15,119$5,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,958.46 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 41c | 14,769$6,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,117.81 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Yes | 44c | 14,399$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…3ef8backed No | 53c | 13,403$7,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,291.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed No | 54c | 13,159$7,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,012 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d9…ecd7backed No | 52c | 13,131$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,331.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed7d…261dbacked Yes | 46c | 13,112$5,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,992.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x326f…802dbacked Yes | 46c | 12,589$5,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,802.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 50c | 12,468$6,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,195.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ab…b2e8backed Yes | 37c | 12,302$4,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,578.39 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…6f7abacked No | 63c | 12,228$7,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,506.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…9cb3backed Yes | 37c | 12,200$4,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,548.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Yes | 50c | 12,179$6,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,109.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 47c | 12,176$5,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,676.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…910abacked Yes | 39c | 11,616$4,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,493.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed No | 52c | 11,578$5,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,585.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…cf55backed Yes | 36c | 11,248$4,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,099.4 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 66c | 11,150$7,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,831.19 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 50c | 11,111$5,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,544.38 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23aa…4008backed Yes | 45c | 10,780$4,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,874.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…f3a1backed No | 49c | 10,692$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,492.2 | 41 | 7.3%3 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 60c | 10,534$6,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,176.23 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ca…b27abacked Yes | 51c | 10,343$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,249.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Yes | 51c | 10,200$5,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,189.69 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…5711backed Yes | 49c | 10,024$4,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,927.4 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…4950backed Yes | 52c | 10,008$5,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,163.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 35c | 10,004$3,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,484.39 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…64a9backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe311…dd0fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2acc…cfedbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…12a9backed No | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.99 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ba…0db1backed Yes | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600.23 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +174.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed No | 56c | 9,975$5,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,418.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…158bbacked Yes | 51c | 9,844$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Yes | 50c | 9,385$4,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,699.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will France win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.