TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8b01…24a9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT3141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$76
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.6
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$85
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$18.6
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.34
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.19
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$78.65
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$38.98
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$7.29
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+26.5%+$15.89
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.91
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.9
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10.97
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.4
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+263.7%+$39.56
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+585%+$178.06
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$49.2
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.44
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$35.99
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+305.8%+$420.61
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$567Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$566.56
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+48.2%+$76.45
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$368.13
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18,626Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,626.35
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26,294Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$8,906.34
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$354.55
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,980Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,980.39
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$8,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,400.01
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$73.58
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.5
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$43.8
76ers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
Kings vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.18
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Bucks vs. Thunderbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+30.6%+$34.26
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-53.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.72
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$898Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$897.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$26.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$15.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+42%+$154.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$753Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$215.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$381.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$9,836Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,836.17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.