Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x515f37cb5aad7945cd4e78dfc878f0fcbde6a2619d005fbf7c677a4d23fb6f13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $730,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $602,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $730,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 423 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 8c | 62,958$4,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,910.71 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 4c | 16,273$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.04 | 1,067 | 8.3%89 W · 978 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x965f…50debacked Yes | 1c | 14,875$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.8 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes | 0c | 13,641$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 240 | 1.7%4 W · 236 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +675.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 20c | 12,932$2,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,584.69 | 541 | 22.7%123 W · 418 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed No | 10c | 10,856$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,738.9 | 115 | 12.2%14 W · 101 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 70c | 9,604$6,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,719.06 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd317…025abacked No | 48c | 9,561$4,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,924.58 | 220 | 23.6%52 W · 168 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc10…13a0backed Yes | 2c | 9,551$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.65 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked No | 43c | 9,216$3,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,243.31 | 564 | 29.8%168 W · 396 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b04…4d19backed Yes | 0c | 9,128$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 19cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked No | 16c | 8,861$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,476.55 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 45c | 8,129$3,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,619.82 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…d6fdbacked No | 29c | 7,790$2,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,549.22 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 57c | 7,516$4,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,283.63 | 535 | 22.6%121 W · 414 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…8345backed Yes | 41c | 7,305$3,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,015.44 | 151 | 36.4%55 W · 96 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 68c | 6,346$4,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,326.62 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…2ec7backed No | 47c | 6,339$2,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,384.06 | 142 | 19.7%28 W · 114 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…d8e6backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed No | 9c | 5,930$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,372.8 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes | 75c | 5,316$3,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,978.8 | 285 | 26.7%76 W · 209 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdea3…1b1abacked Yes | 1c | 4,956$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4a…4896backed No | 19c | 4,260$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,432.5 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Yes | 70c | 4,182$2,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.16 | 212 | 13.2%28 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf48…136dbacked Yes | 69c | 4,001$2,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,751.78 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x029d…7a3ebacked No | 2c | 3,917$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,826.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.98per pick | 2cpaid | +4,240.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c5…b901backed Yes | 4c | 3,765$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.63 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…6558backed No | 68c | 3,321$2,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.71 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97fc…229ebacked Yes | 39c | 3,306$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.31 | 135 | 11.9%16 W · 119 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb489…ee51backed Yes | 1c | 3,105$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 0c | 2,950$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 427 | 19.2%82 W · 345 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes | 9c | 2,920$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.23 | 326 | 13.8%45 W · 281 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…d5a6backed No | 18c | 2,882$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,374.94 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked No | 31c | 2,530$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.61 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes | 11c | 2,501$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.3 | 509 | 13.8%70 W · 439 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9057…c12cbacked No | 2c | 2,450$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,407 | 124 | 24.2%30 W · 94 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 20c | 2,435$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.96 | 83 | 20.5%17 W · 66 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x757f…311dbacked Yes | 39c | 2,390$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12e5…7a73backed Yes | 1c | 2,331$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb28b…3d9bbacked Yes | 9c | 2,155$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.81 | 96 | 26%25 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…51c4backed Yes | 1c | 2,132$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeff9…05fdbacked No | 14c | 2,131$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.92 | 164 | 27.4%45 W · 119 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b42…229ebacked No | 2c | 2,112$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,063.02 | 103 | 22.3%23 W · 80 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x402c…0f6dbacked No | 34c | 2,056$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.08 | 280 | 25.4%71 W · 209 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…b9c5backed Yes | 21c | 2,019$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.68 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb831…892bbacked No | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.95 | 179 | 17.9%32 W · 147 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…4612backed No | 33c | 1,995$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.8 | 273 | 16.8%46 W · 227 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Yes | 41c | 1,946$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.81 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 71c | 1,759$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.53 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 16c | 1,466$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.82 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd744…ee84backed Yes | 9c | 1,462$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.47 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f00…487fbacked Yes | 29c | 1,445$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.96 | 280 | 16.4%46 W · 234 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b69…16d4backed No | 21c | 1,436$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.39 | 223 | 27.8%62 W · 161 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…8c43backed Yes | 56c | 1,384$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.92 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459c…7ebcbacked No | 62c | 1,326$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.28 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…335abacked No | 23c | 1,296$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +342.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b4…b25cbacked No | 11c | 1,246$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +204.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 41c | 1,222$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.7 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 31c | 1,218$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.45 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6aa…132abacked No | 4c | 1,200$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.6 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +57%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed No | 14c | 1,147$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.2 | 114 | 18.4%21 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 62c | 1,095$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.7 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc49…5ea3backed No | 24c | 1,005$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa14a…df2abacked No | 26c | 1,000$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.02 | 562 | 8.9%50 W · 512 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…848dbacked No | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987 | 609 | 7.7%47 W · 562 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 67c | 994.84$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.5 | 624 | 12.3%77 W · 547 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes | 36c | 994.09$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.71 | 188 | 22.3%42 W · 146 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…95b4backed Yes | 62c | 984.68$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.03 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b67…60aabacked Yes | 60c | 978.94$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.74 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes | 60c | 953.91$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.09 | 388 | 28.6%111 W · 277 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…e08fbacked No | 17c | 946.14$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.7 | 167 | 16.2%27 W · 140 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7061…9233backed Yes | 63c | 943.29$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.53 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…b937backed Yes | 3c | 937.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 17c | 903.92$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.07 | 140 | 15.7%22 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fa…3ff4backed Yes | 76c | 900$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.8 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 74c | 862.63$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.77 | 149 | 23.5%35 W · 114 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 18c | 826.2$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.72 | 455 | 11.6%53 W · 402 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0f…f988backed Yes | 63c | 812.17$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.27 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b6…0203backed No | 13c | 811.76$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.04 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7505…2978backed No | 11c | 809.28$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.2 | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6a…7cafbacked No | 79c | 793.78$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…45d7backed No | 62c | 765.79$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 22c | 705.76$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.73 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4268…4815backed No | 60c | 685.84$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.66 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca6…0ae3backed No | 4c | 678.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.87 | 189 | 39.2%74 W · 115 L | +15.8wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…3a33backed Yes | 75c | 674.19$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.1 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d4…c1b8backed Yes | 57c | 674.04$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.28 | 177 | 28.2%50 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054c…ae95backed Yes | 65c | 672.62$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.66 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 74c | 643.46$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.06 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201a…66a8backed Yes | 63c | 643.23$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.8 | 201 | 29.4%59 W · 142 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddb…01adbacked No | 13c | 630.02$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa713…4485backed Yes | 22c | 629.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.89 | 342 | 15.8%54 W · 288 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x696e…1c38backed No | 26c | 626.18$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.99 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked Yes | 16c | 620$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe31…5ce8backed No | 13c | 619.19$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.88 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f34…89c7backed Yes | 57c | 612.07$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.95 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…8121backed No | 19c | 610.28$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.39 | 488 | 19.3%94 W · 394 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dba…462ebacked Yes | 74c | 605.6$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.09 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…af26backed Yes | 78c | 603.9$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.73 | 138 | 17.4%24 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb9…a2b2backed Yes | 64c | 600.3$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.51 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.