Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x717e2d3ebcd78dc8b35e122fc5711b2d2f6ef2f5f9d0dd5e29db87a6ed64a155
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $680,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $617,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $680,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 340 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed No | 0c | 32,119$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.58 | 115 | 12.2%14 W · 101 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0170…a17cbacked Yes | 62c | 24,810$15,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,352.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 18c | 13,795$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,330.64 | 541 | 22.7%123 W · 418 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 23c | 10,159$2,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,829.76 | 455 | 11.6%53 W · 402 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…d8e6backed No | 0c | 9,851$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…c64dbacked Yes | 24c | 9,189$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,982.13 | 143 | 32.9%47 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd427…05adbacked No | 0c | 9,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 265 | 16.6%44 W · 221 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 17c | 8,959$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,432.28 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b0…e6d7backed Yes | 2c | 8,390$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,236.02 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…6cb3backed No | 78c | 6,900$5,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,353.39 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 27c | 6,387$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,660.17 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 11c | 6,191$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,492.45 | 1,067 | 8.3%89 W · 978 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 13c | 6,047$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,279.84 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…2423backed Yes | 13c | 5,906$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,126.52 | 176 | 28.4%50 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x402c…0f6dbacked No | 73c | 5,521$4,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,055.01 | 280 | 25.4%71 W · 209 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 20c | 5,293$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,252.82 | 535 | 22.6%121 W · 414 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 72c | 5,143$3,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.73 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf48…136dbacked No | 72c | 5,084$3,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,671.54 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 13c | 4,705$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,081.5 | 140 | 15.7%22 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed5…72a6backed Yes | 1c | 4,619$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,589.14 | 124 | 29%36 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e1…6a12backed Yes | 10c | 4,457$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,013.84 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 12c | 4,450$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,914.81 | 118 | 9.3%11 W · 107 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes | 79c | 4,447$3,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.36 | 285 | 26.7%76 W · 209 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes | 19c | 4,384$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,567.42 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…4612backed Yes | 22c | 4,198$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,260.01 | 273 | 16.8%46 W · 227 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd317…025abacked Yes | 74c | 4,029$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.53 | 220 | 23.6%52 W · 168 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Yes | 14c | 3,942$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,402.56 | 212 | 13.2%28 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 18c | 3,746$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,081.93 | 1,196 | 8.7%104 W · 1,092 L | +31.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 17c | 3,348$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.63 | 83 | 20.5%17 W · 66 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97fc…229ebacked Yes | 14c | 3,293$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,842.49 | 135 | 11.9%16 W · 119 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274c…4824backed Yes | 16c | 3,100$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,619.48 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 41c | 3,086$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.49 | 287 | 23.7%68 W · 219 L | -46.5wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -63%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xea1e…2858backed No | 77c | 3,031$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320.22 | 117 | 29.1%34 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…8c43backed Yes | 11c | 3,028$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,683.63 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes | 18c | 3,000$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,469 | 164 | 27.4%45 W · 119 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…6558backed Yes | 13c | 2,956$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,581.16 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked No | 3c | 2,695$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…8ff9backed Yes | 49c | 2,538$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.87 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Yes | 12c | 2,347$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.83 | 87 | 5.7%5 W · 82 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6869…0484backed Yes | 4c | 2,259$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,173.67 | 121 | 17.4%21 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201a…66a8backed Yes | 7c | 2,145$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.45 | 201 | 29.4%59 W · 142 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe243…af59backed Yes | 11c | 2,037$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.06 | 364 | 11%40 W · 324 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…cba8backed No | 76c | 1,994$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.94 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb831…892bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,984$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.77 | 179 | 17.9%32 W · 147 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…a743backed Yes | 14c | 1,898$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.41 | 248 | 15.3%38 W · 210 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,879$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.44 | 609 | 7.7%47 W · 562 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 8c | 1,817$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.94 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 45c | 1,772$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.17 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed Yes | 18c | 1,698$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.77 | 317 | 22.4%71 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed Yes | 10c | 1,671$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.64 | 576 | 21.2%122 W · 454 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c17…bae3backed No | 54c | 1,668$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 2c | 1,608$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.27 | 350 | 24%84 W · 266 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa14a…df2abacked Yes | 16c | 1,606$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.87 | 562 | 8.9%50 W · 512 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d3…8e8fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,594$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.21 | 131 | 16.8%22 W · 109 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9c…9a07backed Yes | 23c | 1,592$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.99 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 12c | 1,552$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.71 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 19c | 1,511$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.78 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef24…a44dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,505$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.28 | 171 | 26.9%46 W · 125 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…c831backed Yes | 15c | 1,473$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.98 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…0d6abacked Yes | 7c | 1,388$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.4 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Yes | 45c | 1,379$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.84 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…b689backed Yes | 15c | 1,343$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.55 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed No | 46c | 1,328$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.14 | 233 | 21%49 W · 184 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…4b09backed Yes | 8c | 1,300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.89 | 798 | 11.3%90 W · 708 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb2…83b5backed Yes | 12c | 1,280$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.51 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 10c | 1,278$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.09 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e0…b09bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,265$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.76 | 68 | 8.8%6 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ae…a3efbacked Yes | 46c | 1,250$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.35 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed Yes | 27c | 1,237$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.68 | 335 | 27.8%93 W · 242 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f0…c7a9backed Yes | 15c | 1,195$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 8c | 1,100$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.2 | 624 | 12.3%77 W · 547 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 10c | 1,100$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.37 | 412 | 30.8%127 W · 285 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 13c | 1,089$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.92 | 149 | 23.5%35 W · 114 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e9…35dabacked No | 1c | 1,054$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b4…b25cbacked No | 57c | 1,046$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +204.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,028$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.82 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes | 12c | 1,026$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.72 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,020$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.3 | 326 | 13.8%45 W · 281 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d4…c167backed Yes | 11c | 1,019$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.88 | 177 | 23.2%41 W · 136 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f00…487fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985 | 280 | 16.4%46 W · 234 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes | 15c | 998.79$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.71 | 188 | 22.3%42 W · 146 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b67…60aabacked Yes | 20c | 923.82$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.83 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8c…dbefbacked Yes | 28c | 920.11$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.18 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac32…6e3bbacked Yes | 21c | 910.32$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.76 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 14cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes | 14c | 899.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.99 | 388 | 11.9%46 W · 342 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…39eebacked Yes | 21c | 893.66$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.49 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…e07abacked Yes | 13c | 887.67$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.41 | 781 | 11.3%88 W · 693 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68e…3ebabacked Yes | 20c | 885.82$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.9 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…8121backed Yes | 12c | 847.09$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.85 | 488 | 19.3%94 W · 394 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x696e…1c38backed Yes | 24c | 844.91$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.62 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a43…71afbacked Yes | 15c | 844.85$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.23 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a26…a03bbacked No | 1c | 841.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf0…133fbacked Yes | 20c | 827.82$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.94 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd04…2599backed Yes | 35c | 751.34$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.7 | 168 | 17.3%29 W · 139 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a7…9e8dbacked Yes | 4c | 750$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…77acbacked Yes | 4c | 750$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.95 | 159 | 25.2%40 W · 119 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cf…db1ebacked Yes | 11c | 718.31$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.85 | 81 | 9.9%8 W · 73 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dab…e581backed Yes | 28c | 715.53$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.92 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked No | 20c | 704.71$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.62 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…eb72backed Yes | 40c | 699.24$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.53 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.